Botafogo
Atletico-MG5 Nov
Botafogo vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.7
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Botafogo vs Atletico-MG tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Atletico-MG +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Atletico-MG or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Botafogo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| 1XBotafogo or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.23 | - |
| 2Atletico-MG to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico-MG -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.82 | - |
| 1Botafogo to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Botafogo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.66 | - |
Botafogo vs Atletico-MG preview & analysis
Match preview
Botafogo host Atletico-MG in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 34) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Botafogo arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Coritiba 1-1 away. They're 13th in the table with 36 points from 30 games. Atletico-MG arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Atletico Torque 3-0 at home. They're 7th in the table with 47 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Botafogo have won 3, Atletico-MG have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico-MG narrow favourites: Botafogo 23%, draw 38%, Atletico-MG 39%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Botafogo 0-1 Atletico-MG.
Recent form
- 12 OctACoritiba1-1
- 8 OctHVasco DA Gama1-2
- 19 SeptAMirassol0-2
- 16 SeptHGremio3-2
- 13 SeptHRB Bragantino1-1
- 14 OctHAtletico Torque3-0
- 11 OctHSantos2-1
- 9 OctAAtletico Paranaense2-2
- 3 OctHRB Bragantino1-0
- 19 SeptHChapecoense-sc1-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 | |
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 | |
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 | |
| 6 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 | |
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 | |
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 | |
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 | |
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 | |
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 | |
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 | |
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 | |
| 14 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 | |
| 15 | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 | |
| 16 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 | |
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 | |
| 18 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 | |
| 19 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 | |
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Botafogo vs Atletico-MG: FAQ
What is the Botafogo vs Atletico-MG prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Botafogo 0-1 Atletico-MG.
Who is the favourite to win Botafogo vs Atletico-MG?
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Atletico-MG are favourites. Our model gives Botafogo a 23% chance of winning, Atletico-MG 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Atletico-MG?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Botafogo vs Atletico-MG kick off?
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Botafogo vs Atletico-MG kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro.