Bologna
Inter17 Oct
Bologna vs Inter Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-2
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
0.8 - 2.2
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Expert analysis
Bologna vs Inter: Over 2.5 Goals Tip
Analysis by Diego Ferraz
LaLiga, Serie A & South America ·
Inter are in great form in Serie A with three wins one draw one loss in five games and 15 goals scored. Their recent 4-3 Champions League loss at home to Club Brugge has created urgency to bounce back against a Bologna side that has conceded six goals in five matches.
Form and Context
Inter sit top of the Serie A table with 16 points from six games. In their last five Serie A games they have scored 15 goals and conceded nine. Over 2.5 goals have come in four of those five games. Bologna are 14th on the table with five points from six games. Their form shows one win two draws two losses with five goals scored and six conceded. They have gone over 2.5 goals in two of their five games and BTTS in three.
Team News
Team news is provisional with only two days until kickoff. Bologna are missing Emil Holm due to thigh injury following surgery and Riccardo Orsolini with a grade one injury to the biceps femoris muscle in his right thigh. Samuele Mbangula is also unavailable with injury. Arthur Theate is questionable with a leg injury. Inter are without Curtis Jones due to thigh injury and John Stones with injury. No suspensions are reported for either team.
Key Matchup and Tactics
Inter lost 4-3 at home to Club Brugge in the Champions League on October 13. According to Inter head coach Cristian Chivu we need to focus on our balance our duels second balls and maintaining the right distances when we press. This indicates potential adjustments in their pressing shape after the setback. Bologna won 2-1 away to Lecce on October 11 but lost key attacker Orsolini to injury. At home Bologna have a mixed shape and their pressing has not been effective enough to keep clean sheets against strong attacking sides like Inter.
The Numbers
Expected goals are 0.83 for Bologna and 2.20 for Inter. The most likely score is 0-2. The model probability for over 2.5 goals is 58 percent and for BTTS 56 percent. Recent head to head games have frequently gone over 2.5 goals with high scoring results such as 3-3 3-1 1-1 1-0 and 2-2.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Inter have gone over 2.5 goals in four of their last five Serie A games
- 2Bologna have conceded six goals in five matches
- 3Most head to head encounters between these teams have produced over 2.5 goals
Verdict
The tip is Over 2.5 goals with best odds of 1.71. The main risk is Inter's potential focus dip after their European loss or a solid defensive performance from Bologna at home.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Bologna vs Inter tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Inter +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 96% | 1.04 | 1.01 |
| X2Inter or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | 1.44 |
| 2Inter to win | 57% | 1.76 | 1.69 |
| AH1 +1.5Bologna +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 56% | 1.78 | 1.53 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.27 | 2.15 |
| AH2 -1.5Inter -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 44% | 2.28 | 2.76 |
| 1XBologna or Draw | 43% | 2.31 | 2.30 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 | 2.28 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 | 2.53 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.74 | 4.20 |
| 1Bologna to win | 17% | 6.04 | 5.56 |
| AH1 -1.5Bologna -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 4% | 25.10 | 12.00 |
Bologna vs Inter odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.57 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 1xBet | 5.56 | 4.10 | 1.69 | 1.74 | 2.28 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.20 | 1.62 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.20 | 1.57 | 1.62 | 2.30 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 5.40 | 3.98 | 1.64 | 1.68 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.10 | 1.57 | 1.62 | 2.12 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 6.04 | 4.08 | 1.60 | 1.68 | 2.26 | - | - |
| SBO | 4.60 | 3.78 | 1.55 | 1.62 | 2.31 | - | - |
| Betano | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.62 | 1.67 | 2.27 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
Recent form
- 11 OctALecce2-1
- 19 SeptHTorino1-1
- 13 SeptANapoli0-1
- 6 SeptHSassuolo2-2
- 31 AugAAtalanta0-1
- 13 OctHClub Brugge KV3-4
- 10 OctHParma3-0
- 3 OctHLumezzane2-0
- 19 SeptAAS Roma2-2
- 14 SeptHUdinese5-3
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | |
| 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 | |
| 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Bologna vs Inter: FAQ
What is the Bologna vs Inter prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.74. Our predicted score is Bologna 0-2 Inter.
Who is the favourite to win Bologna vs Inter?
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Inter are favourites. Our model gives Bologna a 17% chance of winning, Inter 57%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Inter?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bologna vs Inter kick off?
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Bologna vs Inter kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna.
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