Serie A· Regular Season - 7· Stadio Olimpico
AS Roma
Genoa17 Oct
AS Roma vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
AS Roma to win
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
2.3 - 0.6
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Expert analysis
Roma's Shape and Table Lead Seal **AS Roma to Win**
Analysis by Diego Ferraz
LaLiga, Serie A & South America ·
AS Roma sit third with 14 points from six matches and strong attacking output. Genoa trail in 17th with four points but have momentum from a recent league win.
Form and Context
Roma show strong shape with solid scoring despite a recent setback.
Team News
Team news is provisional with known absences and suspensions.
Key Matchup and Tactics
Pressing intensity and midfield duels will define momentum.
Model Numbers
Model probabilities give clear edge to the home side.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Roma top table with 14 points and 8 goals scored
- 2Model probability 63% for home win
- 3Genoa poor defensive record of 6 conceded
Verdict
We tip AS Roma to win at best odds of 1.48. Main risk is Genoa's recent league win and counter-attacking threat.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More AS Roma vs Genoa tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5AS Roma +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XAS Roma or Draw | 88% | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | 1.45 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.77 |
| AH1 -1.5AS Roma -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 51% | 1.98 | 2.31 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 50% | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 50% | 2.00 | 1.87 |
| AH2 +1.5Genoa +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 49% | 2.02 | 1.72 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 | 2.22 |
| X2Genoa or Draw | 37% | 2.70 | 2.85 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.90 | 2.77 |
| XDraw | 25% | 3.94 | 4.74 |
| 2Genoa to win | 12% | 8.56 | 7.70 |
| AH2 -1.5Genoa -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 46.27 | - |
AS Roma vs Genoa odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.50 | - | - | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 4.74 | 7.70 | 1.77 | 2.22 | 1.85 | 1.87 |
| Dafabet | 1.47 | 4.70 | 6.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.60 | 7.50 | 1.65 | 2.07 | 1.85 | 1.85 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.60 | 7.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.91 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 4.64 | 6.91 | 1.74 | 2.17 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.40 | 4.08 | 5.99 | 1.69 | 2.20 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.40 | 6.80 | 1.75 | 2.15 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
Recent form
AS Roma- 14 OctHReal Madrid3-4
- 11 OctAComo0-0
- 19 SeptHInter2-2
- 14 SeptATorino2-0
- 10 SeptAFenerbahçe1-1
Genoa- 10 OctHFiorentina2-1
- 2 OctARapid0-2
- 20 SeptAParma1-2
- 15 SeptHSudtirol1-0
- 12 SeptHFrosinone1-1
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
AS Roma vs Genoa: FAQ
What is the AS Roma vs Genoa prediction?
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Our tip is AS Roma to win at odds of 1.48. Our predicted score is AS Roma 2-0 Genoa.
Who is the favourite to win AS Roma vs Genoa?
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AS Roma are favourites. Our model gives AS Roma a 63% chance of winning, Genoa 12%, and the draw 25%.
Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Genoa?
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We rate both teams to score at 50%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does AS Roma vs Genoa kick off?
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AS Roma vs Genoa kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
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