Liga Profesional· Clausura - 11· Estadio Alberto J. Armando
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe3-0
FT
Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Boca Juniors +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XBoca Juniors or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Union Santa Fe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Union Santa Fe or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Boca Juniors to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Boca Juniors -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.79 | - |
| 2Union Santa Fe to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Union Santa Fe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.34 | - |
Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe preview & analysis
Match preview
Boca Juniors host Union Santa Fe in the Liga Profesional (Clausura - 11) at Estadio Alberto J. Armando on Saturday, 3 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Boca Juniors arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Racing Club 3-2 away. They're 2nd in the table with 30 points from 16 games. Union Santa Fe arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Independiente 1-2 at home. They're 8th in the table with 21 points from 16 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Boca Juniors have won 2, Union Santa Fe have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Boca Juniors narrow favourites: Boca Juniors 44%, draw 38%, Union Santa Fe 18%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Boca Juniors- 27 SeptARacing Club3-2
- 20 SeptASan Lorenzo2-0
- 16 SeptASao Paulo1-1
Union Santa Fe- 19 SeptHIndependiente1-2
- 13 SeptATalleres Cordoba1-2
- 8 SeptHInstituto Cordoba3-2
- 28 AugHSarmiento Junin4-1
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe?
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Boca Juniors are favourites. Our model gives Boca Juniors a 44% chance of winning, Union Santa Fe 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe kick off?
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Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires.
