La Liga· Regular Season - 7· Metropolitano Stadium
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid2-1
FT
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Real Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| 1XAtletico Madrid or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Real Madrid or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Atletico Madrid to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Real Madrid to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 28% | 3.57 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.84 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.96 | - |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico Madrid host Real Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 7) at Metropolitano Stadium on Sunday, 20 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atletico Madrid arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Osasuna 4-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 19 points from 8 games. Real Madrid arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Elche 3-2 away. They're 4th in the table with 18 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atletico Madrid have won 2, Real Madrid have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico Madrid narrow favourites: Atletico Madrid 38%, draw 32%, Real Madrid 30%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 72% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Atletico Madrid- 16 SeptHOsasuna4-0
- 13 SeptAReal Sociedad3-0
- 9 SeptALiverpool1-2
Real Madrid- 15 SeptAElche3-2
- 12 SeptHRayo Vallecano4-1
- 8 SeptHInter2-1
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
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Atletico Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Atletico Madrid a 38% chance of winning, Real Madrid 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
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We rate both teams to score at 72%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid kick off?
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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid kicks off at 14:15 UTC on Sunday, 20 September 2026 at Metropolitano Stadium, Madrid.
