Copa del Rey· Round of 128· Campo Municipal de Urritxe
Amorebieta
UD Logroñés28 Oct
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Amorebieta +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAmorebieta or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5UD Logroñés +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2UD Logroñés or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Amorebieta to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Amorebieta -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2UD Logroñés to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5UD Logroñés -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés preview & analysis
Match preview
Amorebieta host UD Logroñés in the Copa del Rey (Round of 128) at Campo Municipal de Urritxe on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Amorebieta are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Portugalete 1-2 at home. UD Logroñés arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Lugo 1-3 away.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Amorebieta have won 3, UD Logroñés have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Amorebieta narrow favourites: Amorebieta 44%, draw 38%, UD Logroñés 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Amorebieta 1-0 UD Logroñés.
Recent form
Amorebieta- 10 OctHPortugalete1-2
- 3 OctAAtlético Astorga1-0
- 26 SeptHOurense CF0-1
- 20 SeptARacing Santander II2-0
- 13 SeptABergantiños0-1
UD Logroñés- 12 OctALugo1-3
- 4 OctHDeportivo La Coruña II2-1
- 27 SeptAMérida AD5-3
- 18 SeptHPontevedra1-1
- 12 SeptAUD Ourense3-0
Head to head
Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: FAQ
What is the Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Amorebieta 1-0 UD Logroñés.
Who is the favourite to win Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
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Amorebieta are favourites. Our model gives Amorebieta a 44% chance of winning, UD Logroñés 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés kick off?
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Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano.
