La Liga 2· Regular Season - 8· UD Almería Stadium
Almeria
Burgos2-1
FT
Almeria vs Burgos Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Almeria vs Burgos tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Almeria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XAlmeria or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Burgos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.36 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Burgos or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Almeria to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Almeria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.77 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| 2Burgos to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Burgos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.04 | - |
Almeria vs Burgos preview & analysis
Match preview
Almeria host Burgos in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 8) at UD Almería Stadium on Saturday, 3 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Almeria arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Mallorca 1-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 21 points from 9 games. Burgos arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Eldense 1-0 at home. They're 8th in the table with 14 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Almeria have won 3, Burgos have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Almeria narrow favourites: Almeria 44%, draw 38%, Burgos 18%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.5 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Almeria- 27 SeptAMallorca1-0
- 20 SeptHCelta de Vigo II2-0
- 12 SeptACordoba2-0
- 6 SeptHCadiz3-2
Burgos- 27 SeptHEldense1-0
- 20 SeptALas Palmas2-1
- 11 SeptHAD Ceuta FC3-1
- 6 SeptAOviedo0-0
Head to head
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
Almeria vs Burgos: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Almeria vs Burgos?
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Almeria are favourites. Our model gives Almeria a 44% chance of winning, Burgos 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Almeria vs Burgos?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Almeria vs Burgos kick off?
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Almeria vs Burgos kicks off at 14:15 UTC on Saturday, 3 October 2026 at UD Almería Stadium, Almeria.
