Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 11· Al Fateh club stadium
Al-Fateh
Al Shabab22 Oct
Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 22 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.77
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Al-Fateh +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.16 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Al Shabab +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| 1XAl-Fateh or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| X2Al Shabab or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.30 | - |
| 1Al-Fateh to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Al Shabab to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Al-Fateh -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.76 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Al Shabab -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 7.17 | - |
Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab preview & analysis
Match preview
Al-Fateh host Al Shabab in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 11) at Al Fateh club stadium on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Al-Fateh are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Most recently they beat Al-Hazm 3-2 away. They're 16th in the table with 6 points from 9 games. Al Shabab arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Al Taawon 3-0 at home. They're 13th in the table with 7 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Al-Fateh have won 2, Al Shabab have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Al-Fateh narrow favourites: Al-Fateh 38%, draw 32%, Al Shabab 30%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 56% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Al-Fateh 1-0 Al Shabab.
Recent form
Al-Fateh- 15 OctAAl-Hazm3-2
- 9 OctHAl-Ahli Jeddah0-4
- 13 SeptANEOM2-4
- 9 SeptHAl Diriyah1-2
- 5 SeptAAl Taawon0-0
Al Shabab- 11 OctHAl Taawon3-0
- 12 SeptHAl-Fayha0-0
- 9 SeptAAl Kholood1-2
- 4 SeptHAl-Hilal Saudi FC0-2
- 30 AugAAl-Hazm1-1
Head to head
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab: FAQ
What is the Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Al-Fateh 1-0 Al Shabab.
Who is the favourite to win Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?
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Al-Fateh are favourites. Our model gives Al-Fateh a 38% chance of winning, Al Shabab 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab kick off?
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Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab kicks off at 14:45 UTC on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf.
