Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 12· Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Al Diriyah
NEOM30 Oct
Al Diriyah vs NEOM Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 30 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.6
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Al Diriyah vs NEOM tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5NEOM +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| X2NEOM or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Al Diriyah +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| 1XAl Diriyah or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2NEOM to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5NEOM -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.48 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| 1Al Diriyah to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Al Diriyah -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.35 | - |
Al Diriyah vs NEOM preview & analysis
Match preview
Al Diriyah host NEOM in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 12) at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium on Friday, 30 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:50 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Al Diriyah arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Al-Nassr 0-3 away. They're 9th in the table with 11 points from 8 games. NEOM arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut 4-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 16 points from 8 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes NEOM narrow favourites: Al Diriyah 17%, draw 41%, NEOM 42%. We expect around 2.5 goals (0.9 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Al Diriyah 0-1 NEOM.
Recent form
Al Diriyah- 9 OctAAl-Nassr0-3
- 13 SeptHAbha0-0
- 9 SeptAAl-Fateh2-1
- 3 SeptHAl-Qadisiyah FC0-2
- 29 AugAAl-Ettifaq3-0
NEOM- 13 OctHAl Sha'ab Hadhramaut4-0
- 10 OctAAl-Hazm1-1
- 13 SeptHAl-Fateh4-2
- 7 SeptAAl-Hilal Saudi FC2-0
- 3 SeptHAl Khaleej Saihat3-0
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
Al Diriyah vs NEOM: FAQ
What is the Al Diriyah vs NEOM prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Al Diriyah 0-1 NEOM.
Who is the favourite to win Al Diriyah vs NEOM?
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NEOM are favourites. Our model gives Al Diriyah a 17% chance of winning, NEOM 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Al Diriyah vs NEOM?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Al Diriyah vs NEOM kick off?
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Al Diriyah vs NEOM kicks off at 14:50 UTC on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh.
