Championship· Regular Season - 14· Racecourse Ground
Wrexham
Middlesbrough4 Nov
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.40
Expected goals
1.5 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Wrexham vs Middlesbrough tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Middlesbrough +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Middlesbrough or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Wrexham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| 1XWrexham or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| 2Middlesbrough to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Middlesbrough -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.11 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 1Wrexham to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Wrexham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.33 | - |
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough preview & analysis
Match preview
Wrexham host Middlesbrough in the Championship (Regular Season - 14) at Racecourse Ground on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Wrexham arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to West Brom 1-2 at home. They're 17th in the table with 11 points from 10 games. Middlesbrough arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Stoke City 3-2 away. They're 2nd in the table with 21 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Wrexham have won 0, Middlesbrough have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Middlesbrough narrow favourites: Wrexham 23%, draw 38%, Middlesbrough 39%. We expect around 3.7 goals (1.5 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 69% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 71% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Wrexham 1-2 Middlesbrough.
Recent form
Wrexham- 13 OctHWest Brom1-2
- 10 OctADerby1-1
- 19 SeptHSouthampton2-1
- 11 SeptAWest Ham0-6
- 8 SeptHBurnley1-1
Middlesbrough- 13 OctAStoke City3-2
- 10 OctHWolves1-0
- 19 SeptABirmingham2-2
- 15 SeptHMillwall2-2
- 12 SeptHNorwich4-3
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 |  Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough: FAQ
What is the Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Wrexham 1-2 Middlesbrough.
Who is the favourite to win Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
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Middlesbrough are favourites. Our model gives Wrexham a 23% chance of winning, Middlesbrough 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Middlesbrough?
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We rate both teams to score at 69%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Wrexham vs Middlesbrough kick off?
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Wrexham vs Middlesbrough kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at Racecourse Ground, Wrexham.
