Brasileirão· Regular Season - 34· Barradao
Vitoria
Fluminense6 Nov
Vitoria vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 6 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.73
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More Vitoria vs Fluminense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Vitoria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XVitoria or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Fluminense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Fluminense or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Vitoria to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Vitoria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2Fluminense to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Fluminense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Vitoria vs Fluminense preview & analysis
Match preview
Vitoria host Fluminense in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 34) at Barradao on Friday, 6 November 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Vitoria arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Sao Paulo 1-2 away. They're 12th in the table with 36 points from 30 games. Fluminense are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1-2 at home. They're 4th in the table with 51 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Vitoria have won 2, Fluminense have won 1 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Vitoria narrow favourites: Vitoria 44%, draw 38%, Fluminense 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Vitoria 2-1 Fluminense.
Recent form
Vitoria- 11 OctASao Paulo1-2
- 8 OctHChapecoense-sc4-0
- 20 SeptHCruzeiro1-3
- 13 SeptAMirassol2-2
- 8 SeptHGremio1-0
Fluminense- 15 OctHPalmeiras1-2
- 11 OctAFlamengo0-1
- 9 OctHCoritiba4-0
- 20 SeptACorinthians3-1
- 15 SeptAPlatense1-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Vitoria vs Fluminense: FAQ
What is the Vitoria vs Fluminense prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Vitoria 2-1 Fluminense.
Who is the favourite to win Vitoria vs Fluminense?
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Vitoria are favourites. Our model gives Vitoria a 44% chance of winning, Fluminense 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Vitoria vs Fluminense?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Vitoria vs Fluminense kick off?
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Vitoria vs Fluminense kicks off at 23:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026 at Barradao, Salvador.
