La Liga· Regular Season - 12
Sevilla
Alaves6 Nov
Sevilla vs Alaves Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 6 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.77
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sevilla vs Alaves tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sevilla +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.16 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Alaves +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| 1XSevilla or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| X2Alaves or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.30 | - |
| 1Sevilla to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Alaves to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sevilla -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.76 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Alaves -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 7.17 | - |
Sevilla vs Alaves preview & analysis
Match preview
Sevilla host Alaves in the La Liga (Regular Season - 12) on Friday, 6 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sevilla arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Levante 3-3 away. They're 5th in the table with 14 points from 8 games. Alaves are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Atletico Madrid 1-2 at home. They're 7th in the table with 11 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sevilla have won 1, Alaves have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sevilla narrow favourites: Sevilla 38%, draw 32%, Alaves 30%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 56% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-0 Alaves.
Recent form
Sevilla- 12 OctALevante3-3
- 2 OctHAston Villa1-3
- 19 SeptHBarcelona1-3
- 16 SeptADeportivo La Coruna1-0
- 11 SeptHValencia1-0
Alaves- 10 OctHAtletico Madrid1-2
- 19 SeptAAthletic Club0-0
- 15 SeptHValencia0-1
- 12 SeptARacing Santander1-2
- 6 SeptHOsasuna5-2
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Sevilla vs Alaves: FAQ
What is the Sevilla vs Alaves prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Sevilla 1-0 Alaves.
Who is the favourite to win Sevilla vs Alaves?
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Sevilla are favourites. Our model gives Sevilla a 38% chance of winning, Alaves 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Alaves?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sevilla vs Alaves kick off?
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Sevilla vs Alaves kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026.
