Brasileirão· Regular Season - 34· Estádio Mineirão
Cruzeiro
Bahia6 Nov
Cruzeiro vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 6 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Cruzeiro vs Bahia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Cruzeiro +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XCruzeiro or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Bahia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| X2Bahia or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Cruzeiro to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Cruzeiro -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 2Bahia to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bahia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.51 | - |
Cruzeiro vs Bahia preview & analysis
Match preview
Cruzeiro host Bahia in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 34) at Estádio Mineirão on Friday, 6 November 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Cruzeiro arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino 2-4 away. They're 6th in the table with 48 points from 30 games. Bahia arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Mirassol 1-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 49 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Cruzeiro have won 4, Bahia have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cruzeiro narrow favourites: Cruzeiro 44%, draw 38%, Bahia 18%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Cruzeiro 2-1 Bahia.
Recent form
Cruzeiro- 13 OctARB Bragantino2-4
- 8 OctHSao Paulo2-0
- 20 SeptAVitoria3-1
- 13 SeptASantos1-2
- 6 SeptHAtletico Paranaense3-1
Bahia- 11 OctHMirassol1-0
- 9 OctAPalmeiras0-1
- 20 SeptAAtletico Paranaense1-2
- 15 SeptHRemo2-1
- 5 SeptARB Bragantino3-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Cruzeiro vs Bahia: FAQ
What is the Cruzeiro vs Bahia prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 2-1 Bahia.
Who is the favourite to win Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
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Cruzeiro are favourites. Our model gives Cruzeiro a 44% chance of winning, Bahia 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Cruzeiro vs Bahia?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Cruzeiro vs Bahia kick off?
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Cruzeiro vs Bahia kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Friday, 6 November 2026 at Estádio Mineirão, Belo Horizonte.
