Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 12
Vitória SC
Estrela28 Nov
Vitória SC vs Estrela Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 28 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.5 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Vitória SC vs Estrela tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Vitória SC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XVitória SC or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Estrela +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| X2Estrela or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| 1Vitória SC to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Vitória SC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| 2Estrela to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Estrela -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.62 | - |
Vitória SC vs Estrela preview & analysis
Match preview
Vitória SC host Estrela in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 12) on Saturday, 28 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Vitória SC arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Benfica 0-2 away. They're 15th in the table with 5 points from 8 games. Estrela arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Arouca 0-1 away. They're 10th in the table with 10 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Vitória SC have won 4, Estrela have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Vitória SC narrow favourites: Vitória SC 44%, draw 38%, Estrela 18%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.5 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Vitória SC 1-0 Estrela.
Recent form
Vitória SC- 11 OctABenfica0-2
- 25 SeptAChaves1-0
- 20 SeptHMoreirense1-1
- 12 SeptAAcademico Viseu1-2
- 6 SeptHCasa Pia0-0
Estrela- 11 OctAArouca0-1
- 20 SeptHAcademico Viseu0-2
- 14 SeptARio Ave3-3
- 10 SeptHSC Braga2-1
- 5 SeptHFamalicao2-2
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Vitória SC vs Estrela: FAQ
What is the Vitória SC vs Estrela prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Vitória SC 1-0 Estrela.
Who is the favourite to win Vitória SC vs Estrela?
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Vitória SC are favourites. Our model gives Vitória SC a 44% chance of winning, Estrela 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Vitória SC vs Estrela?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Vitória SC vs Estrela kick off?
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Vitória SC vs Estrela kicks off at 20:30 UTC on Saturday, 28 November 2026.
