Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 12· Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Moreirense
Santa Clara28 Nov
Moreirense vs Santa Clara Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 28 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Moreirense vs Santa Clara tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Santa Clara +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Santa Clara or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Moreirense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XMoreirense or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Santa Clara to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Santa Clara -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1Moreirense to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Moreirense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
Moreirense vs Santa Clara preview & analysis
Match preview
Moreirense host Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 12) at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas on Saturday, 28 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Moreirense are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to GIL Vicente 0-1 at home. They're 12th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. Santa Clara arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Casa Pia 1-0 away. They're 4th in the table with 18 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Moreirense have won 3, Santa Clara have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Santa Clara narrow favourites: Moreirense 23%, draw 38%, Santa Clara 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Moreirense 0-1 Santa Clara.
Recent form
Moreirense- 9 OctHGIL Vicente0-1
- 20 SeptAVitória SC1-1
- 14 SeptHMaritimo3-1
- 9 SeptHBenfica0-4
- 4 SeptAFC Porto1-2
Santa Clara- 10 OctACasa Pia1-0
- 20 SeptHSC Braga0-0
- 13 SeptAArouca2-1
- 6 SeptHRio Ave4-0
- 29 AugAAlverca1-1
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Moreirense vs Santa Clara: FAQ
What is the Moreirense vs Santa Clara prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Moreirense 0-1 Santa Clara.
Who is the favourite to win Moreirense vs Santa Clara?
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Santa Clara are favourites. Our model gives Moreirense a 23% chance of winning, Santa Clara 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Moreirense vs Santa Clara?
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We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Moreirense vs Santa Clara kick off?
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Moreirense vs Santa Clara kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Saturday, 28 November 2026 at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos.
