Bundesliga· Regular Season - 11· Volksparkstadion
Hamburger SV
Bayern München28 Nov
Hamburger SV vs Bayern München Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 28 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
1.4 - 2.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Hamburger SV vs Bayern München tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Bayern München +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| X2Bayern München or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Hamburger SV +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| 1XHamburger SV or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Bayern München to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bayern München -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.51 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Hamburger SV to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Hamburger SV -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.84 | - |
Hamburger SV vs Bayern München preview & analysis
Match preview
Hamburger SV host Bayern München in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 11) at Volksparkstadion on Saturday, 28 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Hamburger SV arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13. Most recently they beat 1899 Hoffenheim 3-2 away. They're 12th in the table with 6 points from 5 games. Bayern München arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Viking 3-3 away. They're 3rd in the table with 11 points from 5 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Hamburger SV have won 0, Bayern München have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 4.2 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bayern München narrow favourites: Hamburger SV 17%, draw 41%, Bayern München 42%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.4 - 2.4 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Hamburger SV 1-2 Bayern München.
Recent form
Hamburger SV- 10 OctA1899 Hoffenheim3-2
- 4 OctHFC Copenhagen2-0
- 19 SeptH1. FC Köln2-1
- 13 SeptARB Leipzig0-5
- 6 SeptHFSV Mainz 050-5
Bayern München- 13 OctAViking3-3
- 10 OctAFC Augsburg2-2
- 18 SeptHUnion Berlin7-0
- 13 SeptASV Elversberg2-1
- 10 SeptHBodo/Glimt5-0
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Hamburger SV vs Bayern München: FAQ
What is the Hamburger SV vs Bayern München prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Hamburger SV 1-2 Bayern München.
Who is the favourite to win Hamburger SV vs Bayern München?
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Bayern München are favourites. Our model gives Hamburger SV a 17% chance of winning, Bayern München 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Hamburger SV vs Bayern München?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Hamburger SV vs Bayern München kick off?
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Hamburger SV vs Bayern München kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 28 November 2026 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg.
