La Liga· Regular Season - 9· Estadio de la Cerámica
Villarreal
Elche17 Oct
Villarreal vs Elche Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Villarreal to win
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
2.5 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
More Villarreal vs Elche tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Villarreal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 97% | 1.03 | - |
| 1XVillarreal or Draw | 86% | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 | 1.43 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.71 | 1.58 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.77 | 1.75 |
| AH1 -1.5Villarreal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 53% | 1.88 | 2.28 |
| AH2 +1.5Elche +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 47% | 2.14 | 1.74 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.30 | 2.25 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.41 | 2.30 |
| X2Elche or Draw | 38% | 2.64 | 2.75 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.81 | 2.58 |
| XDraw | 23% | 4.26 | 5.00 |
| 2Elche to win | 14% | 6.93 | 6.73 |
| AH2 -1.5Elche -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 3% | 37.45 | - |
Villarreal vs Elche odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.00 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.51 | 4.88 | 6.73 | 1.43 | 2.58 | 1.58 | 2.26 |
| Dafabet | 1.48 | 5.00 | 6.20 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 1.44 | 2.75 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 4.75 | 6.55 | 1.43 | 2.58 | 1.58 | 2.23 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 | 1.45 | 2.50 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 5.01 | 6.44 | 1.49 | 2.67 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.39 | 4.40 | 5.61 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.90 | 6.20 | 1.50 | 2.70 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Villarreal vs Elche preview & analysis
Match preview
Villarreal host Elche in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9) at Estadio de la Cerámica on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Villarreal arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Napoli 3-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. Elche arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Most recently they drew with Celta Vigo 0-0 at home. They're 18th in the table with 6 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Villarreal have won 4, Elche have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Villarreal clear favourites: Villarreal 62%, draw 23%, Elche 14%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.5 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Villarreal have the stronger profile here and home advantage tips it further their way. Our pick is Villarreal to win at 1.51, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Villarreal 2-0 Elche.
Recent form
Villarreal- 13 OctHNapoli3-1
- 10 OctAReal Madrid0-1
- 20 SeptHLevante3-1
- 17 SeptAMalaga3-1
- 14 SeptHReal Betis1-2
Elche- 11 OctHCelta Vigo0-0
- 18 SeptAEspanyol3-1
- 15 SeptHReal Madrid2-3
- 12 SeptAAthletic Club1-1
- 7 SeptHReal Sociedad2-3
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Villarreal vs Elche: FAQ
What is the Villarreal vs Elche prediction?
+
Our tip is Villarreal to win at odds of 1.51. Our predicted score is Villarreal 2-0 Elche.
Who is the favourite to win Villarreal vs Elche?
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Villarreal are favourites. Our model gives Villarreal a 62% chance of winning, Elche 14%, and the draw 23%.
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Elche?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Villarreal vs Elche kick off?
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Villarreal vs Elche kicks off at 14:15 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal.
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