Liga Profesional· Clausura - 11· Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield
Platense2-2
FT
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 5 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Velez Sarsfield vs Platense tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Velez Sarsfield +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XVelez Sarsfield or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Platense +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| X2Platense or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| 1Velez Sarsfield to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Velez Sarsfield -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| 2Platense to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Platense -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.62 | - |
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense preview & analysis
Match preview
Velez Sarsfield host Platense in the Liga Profesional (Clausura - 11) at Jose Amalfitani on Monday, 5 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Velez Sarsfield arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Tigre 3-2 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 28 points from 16 games. Platense arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 at home. They're 12th in the table with 16 points from 16 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Velez Sarsfield have won 2, Platense have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.3 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Velez Sarsfield narrow favourites: Velez Sarsfield 44%, draw 38%, Platense 18%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.5 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Velez Sarsfield- 21 SeptHTigre3-2
- 11 SeptANewells Old Boys1-1
- 6 SeptHEstudiantes L.P.1-0
- 3 SeptHBoca Juniors0-0
Platense- 2 OctHEstudiantes L.P.1-0
- 20 SeptHNewells Old Boys0-1
- 15 SeptHFluminense2-1
- 12 SeptAEstudiantes L.P.1-2
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Velez Sarsfield vs Platense?
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Velez Sarsfield are favourites. Our model gives Velez Sarsfield a 44% chance of winning, Platense 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Velez Sarsfield vs Platense?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Velez Sarsfield vs Platense kick off?
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Velez Sarsfield vs Platense kicks off at 22:00 UTC on Monday, 5 October 2026 at Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires.
