Nations League· League A - 4· Stade de France
France
Belgium4-1
FT
France vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 5 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More France vs Belgium tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| AH1 +1.5France +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Belgium +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 87% | 1.15 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XFrance or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 69% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Belgium or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1France to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 31% | 3.19 | - |
| 2Belgium to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 23% | 4.35 | - |
| AH1 -1.5France -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 13% | 7.75 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Belgium -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.28 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 9% | 11.65 | - |
France vs Belgium preview & analysis
Match preview
France host Belgium in the Nations League (League A - 4) at Stade de France on Monday, 5 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
France arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Italy 1-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 10 points from 4 games. Belgium arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Türkiye 3-0 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 6 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, France have won 6, Belgium have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes France narrow favourites: France 38%, draw 32%, Belgium 30%. We expect around 1.6 goals (0.9 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 23% for over 2.5 and 31% for both teams to score.
Recent form
France- 2 OctHItaly1-1
- 28 SeptABelgium1-0
- 25 SeptATürkiye1-0
- 18 JulHEngland4-6
- 14 JulHSpain0-2
Belgium- 2 OctHTürkiye3-0
- 28 SeptHFrance0-1
- 25 SeptAItaly2-0
- 10 JulASpain1-2
- 7 JulAUSA4-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
France vs Belgium: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win France vs Belgium?
+
France are favourites. Our model gives France a 38% chance of winning, Belgium 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in France vs Belgium?
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We rate both teams to score at 31%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does France vs Belgium kick off?
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France vs Belgium kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Monday, 5 October 2026 at Stade de France, Paris.
