J1 League· Regular Season - 15· Peace Stadium
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama2-1
FT
V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 6 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Fagiano Okayama +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Fagiano Okayama or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5V-varen Nagasaki +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XV-varen Nagasaki or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Fagiano Okayama to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Fagiano Okayama -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1V-varen Nagasaki to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5V-varen Nagasaki -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.45 | - |
V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama preview & analysis
Match preview
V-varen Nagasaki host Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League (Regular Season - 15) at Peace Stadium on Wednesday, 6 May 2026, with kick-off at 04:03 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, V-varen Nagasaki have won 1, Fagiano Okayama have won 2 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Fagiano Okayama narrow favourites: V-varen Nagasaki 23%, draw 38%, Fagiano Okayama 39%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.2 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Head to head
J1 League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | +4 | 35 |
| 2 |  Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | +9 | 31 |
| 3 |  Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | +2 | 31 |
| 4 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | +8 | 30 |
| 5 |  Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | +6 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | -3 | 26 |
| 7 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | -2 | 24 |
| 8 |  Kyoto Sanga | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | V-varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | -10 | 21 |
V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?
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Fagiano Okayama are favourites. Our model gives V-varen Nagasaki a 23% chance of winning, Fagiano Okayama 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama kick off?
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V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama kicks off at 04:03 UTC on Wednesday, 6 May 2026 at Peace Stadium, Nagasaki.
