Champions League· Semi-finals· Allianz Arena
Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain1-1
FT
Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 6 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Bayern München +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Paris Saint Germain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.35 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 72% | 1.39 | - |
| 1XBayern München or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Paris Saint Germain or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 1Bayern München to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Paris Saint Germain to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 28% | 3.57 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bayern München -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.84 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Paris Saint Germain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.96 | - |
Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain preview & analysis
Match preview
Bayern München host Paris Saint Germain in the Champions League (Semi-finals) at Allianz Arena on Wednesday, 6 May 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bayern München have won 4, Paris Saint Germain have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bayern München narrow favourites: Bayern München 38%, draw 32%, Paris Saint Germain 30%. We expect around 3.8 goals (2.1 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 72% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +19 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 21 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 18 |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 15 |
| 10 |  Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain?
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Bayern München are favourites. Our model gives Bayern München a 38% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain?
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We rate both teams to score at 72%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain kick off?
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Bayern München vs Paris Saint Germain kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 6 May 2026 at Allianz Arena, Munich.