Eredivisie· Regular Season - 8· Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht
Willem II3-1
FT
Utrecht vs Willem II Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Utrecht vs Willem II tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Utrecht +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 97% | 1.03 | 1.01 |
| 1XUtrecht or Draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | 1.39 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | 1.53 |
| 1Utrecht to win | 60% | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | 1.76 |
| AH1 -1.5Utrecht -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 51% | 1.96 | 2.32 |
| AH2 +1.5Willem II +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 49% | 2.04 | 1.64 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | 2.12 |
| X2Willem II or Draw | 40% | 2.49 | 2.49 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | 2.40 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | 2.59 |
| XDraw | 24% | 4.11 | 4.90 |
| 2Willem II to win | 16% | 6.29 | 5.80 |
| AH2 -1.5Willem II -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 3% | 29.91 | 10.00 |
Utrecht vs Willem II odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.00 | - | - | 1.53 | 2.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.64 | 5.52 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 1.52 | 2.37 |
| Dafabet | 1.51 | 4.90 | 5.80 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.75 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.35 | 1.39 | 2.59 | 1.52 | 2.33 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.36 | 2.88 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.80 | 5.75 | 1.40 | 2.75 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.75 | 5.90 | 1.44 | 2.88 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.44 | 4.25 | 5.03 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.70 | 6.00 | 1.47 | 2.77 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
Utrecht vs Willem II preview & analysis
Match preview
Utrecht host Willem II in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 8) at Stadion Galgenwaard on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 10:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Utrecht arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Most recently they lost to Feyenoord 0-5 away. They're 13th in the table with 8 points from 8 games. Willem II are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 12. Most recently they lost to Fortuna Sittard 0-1 at home. They're 18th in the table with 2 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Utrecht have won 5, Willem II have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 5.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Utrecht favourites: Utrecht 60%, draw 24%, Willem II 16%. We expect around 3.4 goals (2.5 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Utrecht- 20 SeptAFeyenoord0-5
- 13 SeptAExcelsior2-1
- 8 SeptHGO Ahead Eagles3-3
- 30 AugHPSV Eindhoven1-6
- 22 AugASparta Rotterdam3-3
Willem II- 19 SeptHFortuna Sittard0-1
- 15 SeptAAjax1-5
- 11 SeptAAZ Alkmaar1-1
- 5 SeptHExcelsior0-3
- 30 AugHHeerenveen2-2
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Utrecht vs Willem II: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Utrecht vs Willem II?
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Utrecht are favourites. Our model gives Utrecht a 60% chance of winning, Willem II 16%, and the draw 24%.
Will both teams score in Utrecht vs Willem II?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Utrecht vs Willem II kick off?
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Utrecht vs Willem II kicks off at 10:15 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht.
