Eredivisie· Regular Season - 8· Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Excelsior
Groningen1-5
FT
Excelsior vs Groningen Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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More Excelsior vs Groningen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Excelsior +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| AH2 +1.5Groningen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.24 | 1.13 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.55 | 1.44 |
| 1XExcelsior or Draw | 64% | 1.57 | 1.52 |
| X2Groningen or Draw | 64% | 1.57 | 1.51 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.71 | 1.63 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.41 | 2.33 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 | 2.33 |
| 1Excelsior to win | 36% | 2.74 | 2.61 |
| 2Groningen to win | 36% | 2.76 | 2.60 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.83 | 2.62 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.67 | 3.70 |
| AH1 -1.5Excelsior -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.25 | 4.50 |
| AH2 -1.5Groningen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.32 | 4.40 |
Excelsior vs Groningen odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 | - | - | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| 1xBet | 2.61 | 3.69 | 2.58 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.70 | 2.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.50 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Marathonbet | 2.53 | 3.58 | 2.50 | 1.48 | 2.33 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.45 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.80 | 2.50 | 1.51 | 2.34 | 1.40 | 2.63 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64 | 3.73 | 2.58 | 1.54 | 2.59 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.45 | 3.38 | 2.35 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.65 | 2.57 | 1.57 | 2.47 | 1.47 | 2.57 |
Excelsior vs Groningen preview & analysis
Match preview
Excelsior host Groningen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 8) at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Excelsior arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with Ajax 2-2 away. They're 9th in the table with 11 points from 8 games. Groningen arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Most recently they beat PEC Zwolle 3-0 at home. They're 6th in the table with 14 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Excelsior have won 2, Groningen have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Excelsior narrow favourites: Excelsior 36%, draw 27%, Groningen 36%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.6 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Excelsior- 19 SeptAAjax2-2
- 13 SeptHUtrecht1-2
- 8 SeptANEC Nijmegen2-2
- 5 SeptAWillem II3-0
- 29 AugHSparta Rotterdam2-1
Groningen- 18 SeptHPEC Zwolle3-0
- 12 SeptAGO Ahead Eagles1-1
- 6 SeptHTwente2-2
- 28 AugHFortuna Sittard2-3
- 23 AugAPSV Eindhoven1-5
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Excelsior vs Groningen: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Excelsior vs Groningen?
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Excelsior are favourites. Our model gives Excelsior a 36% chance of winning, Groningen 36%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Excelsior vs Groningen?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Excelsior vs Groningen kick off?
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Excelsior vs Groningen kicks off at 14:45 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam.
