Liga MX· Apertura - 13· Estadio Universitario
Tigres UANL
Leon21 Oct
Tigres UANL vs Leon Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
1.5 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Tigres UANL vs Leon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Tigres UANL +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XTigres UANL or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Leon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Leon or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Tigres UANL to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Tigres UANL -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.77 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| 2Leon to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Leon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.04 | - |
Tigres UANL vs Leon preview & analysis
Match preview
Tigres UANL host Leon in the Liga MX (Apertura - 13) at Estadio Universitario on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, with kick-off at 03:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Tigres UANL arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Toluca 3-2 at home. They're 13th in the table with 13 points from 11 games. Leon arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Puebla 1-1 away.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Tigres UANL have won 3, Leon have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Tigres UANL narrow favourites: Tigres UANL 44%, draw 38%, Leon 18%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.5 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Tigres UANL 1-0 Leon.
Recent form
Tigres UANL- 10 OctHToluca3-2
- 27 SeptHPuebla1-0
- 19 SeptAFC Juarez0-2
- 13 SeptAMonterrey0-0
- 6 SeptHNecaxa1-1
Leon- 10 OctAPuebla1-1
- 28 SeptHFC Juarez2-1
- 21 SeptAClub Queretaro1-1
- 15 SeptHAtletico San Luis2-0
- 11 SeptAU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-3
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Tigres UANL vs Leon: FAQ
What is the Tigres UANL vs Leon prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Tigres UANL 1-0 Leon.
Who is the favourite to win Tigres UANL vs Leon?
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Tigres UANL are favourites. Our model gives Tigres UANL a 44% chance of winning, Leon 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Tigres UANL vs Leon?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Tigres UANL vs Leon kick off?
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Tigres UANL vs Leon kicks off at 03:00 UTC on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Estadio Universitario, San Nicolas de los Garza.
