Liga MX· Clausura - Quarter-finals· Estadio Universitario
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas3-1
FT
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 3 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Tigres UANL +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XTigres UANL or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Guadalajara Chivas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2Guadalajara Chivas or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Tigres UANL to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Tigres UANL -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Guadalajara Chivas to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Guadalajara Chivas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas preview & analysis
Match preview
Tigres UANL host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX (Clausura - Quarter-finals) at Estadio Universitario on Sunday, 3 May 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Tigres UANL have won 3, Guadalajara Chivas have won 0 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Tigres UANL narrow favourites: Tigres UANL 44%, draw 38%, Guadalajara Chivas 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | +17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 33 |
| 4 |  CF Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 31 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +10 | 25 |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 25 |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -18 | 12 |
Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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Tigres UANL are favourites. Our model gives Tigres UANL a 44% chance of winning, Guadalajara Chivas 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas kick off?
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Tigres UANL vs Guadalajara Chivas kicks off at 01:00 UTC on Sunday, 3 May 2026 at Estadio Universitario, Monterrey.
