Liga MX· Clausura - Quarter-finals· Estadio Jalisco
Atlas
Cruz Azul2-3
FT
Atlas vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 3 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atlas vs Cruz Azul tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Cruz Azul +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Atlas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.21 | - |
| X2Cruz Azul or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| 1XAtlas or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Cruz Azul to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 34% | 2.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.71 | - |
| 1Atlas to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Cruz Azul -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.76 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 9.20 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atlas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.58 | - |
Atlas vs Cruz Azul preview & analysis
Match preview
Atlas host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX (Clausura - Quarter-finals) at Estadio Jalisco on Sunday, 3 May 2026, with kick-off at 03:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atlas have won 1, Cruz Azul have won 1 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cruz Azul narrow favourites: Atlas 23%, draw 38%, Cruz Azul 39%. We expect around 1.8 goals (0.7 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 27% for over 2.5 and 34% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | +17 | 36 |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | +16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 33 |
| 4 |  CF Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 31 |
| 5 |  Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 |  Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +10 | 25 |
| 8 |  Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | +3 | 25 |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |  Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 |  Club Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 |  FC Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 |  Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 |  Mazatlán | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 |  Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 |  Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -18 | 12 |
Atlas vs Cruz Azul: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atlas vs Cruz Azul?
+
Cruz Azul are favourites. Our model gives Atlas a 23% chance of winning, Cruz Azul 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atlas vs Cruz Azul?
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We rate both teams to score at 34%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Atlas vs Cruz Azul kick off?
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Atlas vs Cruz Azul kicks off at 03:15 UTC on Sunday, 3 May 2026 at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara.
