League Two· Regular Season - 15· County Ground
Swindon Town
Grimsby14 Nov
Swindon Town vs Grimsby Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 14 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
0.8 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Swindon Town vs Grimsby tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Grimsby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Swindon Town +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.24 | - |
| X2Grimsby or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.63 | - |
| 1XSwindon Town or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Grimsby to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.58 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| 1Swindon Town to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Grimsby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.00 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Swindon Town -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.37 | - |
Swindon Town vs Grimsby preview & analysis
Match preview
Swindon Town host Grimsby in the League Two (Regular Season - 15) at County Ground on Saturday, 14 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Swindon Town are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Crewe 0-1 at home. They're 17th in the table with 11 points from 10 games. Grimsby are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Port Vale 0-1 away. They're 11th in the table with 13 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Swindon Town have won 3, Grimsby have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Grimsby narrow favourites: Swindon Town 23%, draw 38%, Grimsby 39%. We expect around 2.0 goals (0.8 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 32% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Swindon Town 0-1 Grimsby.
Recent form
Swindon Town- 10 OctHCrewe0-1
- 3 OctARochdale0-1
- 26 SeptHAccrington ST1-1
- 22 SeptHNewport County0-2
- 19 SeptASalford City0-1
Grimsby- 10 OctAPort Vale0-1
- 6 OctHBurton Albion0-0
- 3 OctHShrewsbury1-2
- 26 SeptANewport County1-2
- 22 SeptANotts County1-2
Head to head
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Gillingham | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Rochdale | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 |  Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 | Swindon Town | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 |  Shrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 19 |  Colchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
Swindon Town vs Grimsby: FAQ
What is the Swindon Town vs Grimsby prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Swindon Town 0-1 Grimsby.
Who is the favourite to win Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
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Grimsby are favourites. Our model gives Swindon Town a 23% chance of winning, Grimsby 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Swindon Town vs Grimsby?
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We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Swindon Town vs Grimsby kick off?
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Swindon Town vs Grimsby kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 14 November 2026 at County Ground, Swindon.
