Nations League· League B - 5
Northern Ireland
Ukraine14 Nov
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 14 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.48
Expected goals
1.4 - 0.6
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Northern Ireland vs Ukraine tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Northern Ireland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 96% | 1.04 | - |
| 1XNorthern Ireland or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Ukraine +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.38 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 65% | 1.53 | - |
| X2Ukraine or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1Northern Ireland to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 35% | 2.89 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Northern Ireland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.64 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.00 | - |
| 2Ukraine to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Ukraine -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 4% | 23.66 | - |
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine preview & analysis
Match preview
Northern Ireland host Ukraine in the Nations League (League B - 5) on Saturday, 14 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Northern Ireland arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Most recently they drew with Georgia 0-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 8 points from 4 games. Ukraine are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Hungary 1-2 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 4 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Northern Ireland have won 2, Ukraine have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Northern Ireland favourites: Northern Ireland 47%, draw 41%, Ukraine 12%. We expect around 2.0 goals (1.4 - 0.6 in expected goals), with 32% for over 2.5 and 35% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Northern Ireland 1-0 Ukraine.
Recent form
Northern Ireland- 5 OctHGeorgia0-0
- 2 OctAUkraine3-0
- 28 SeptHHungary0-0
- 25 SeptAGeorgia1-0
- 8 JunAFrance1-3
Ukraine- 5 OctHHungary1-2
- 2 OctHNorthern Ireland0-3
- 28 SeptAGeorgia0-0
- 25 SeptAHungary1-0
- 7 JunADenmark1-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine: FAQ
What is the Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Northern Ireland 1-0 Ukraine.
Who is the favourite to win Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?
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Northern Ireland are favourites. Our model gives Northern Ireland a 47% chance of winning, Ukraine 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?
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We rate both teams to score at 35%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Northern Ireland vs Ukraine kick off?
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Northern Ireland vs Ukraine kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Saturday, 14 November 2026.
