Nations League· League A - 5
Portugal
Denmark14 Nov
Portugal vs Denmark Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 14 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.62
Expected goals
2.5 - 0.7
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Match probabilities
More Portugal vs Denmark tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Portugal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| 1XPortugal or Draw | 87% | 1.14 | 1.02 |
| 1Portugal to win | 65% | 1.53 | 1.34 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 1.51 |
| AH1 -1.5Portugal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 54% | 1.85 | 2.01 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.88 | 1.72 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.14 | 1.96 |
| AH2 +1.5Denmark +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 46% | 2.18 | 1.68 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 | 2.33 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 | 2.39 |
| X2Denmark or Draw | 35% | 2.87 | 2.85 |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.49 | 5.04 |
| 2Denmark to win | 13% | 7.99 | 7.11 |
| AH2 -1.5Denmark -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 45.94 | - |
Portugal vs Denmark odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.34 | 5.04 | 7.11 | 1.48 | 2.39 | 1.72 | 1.96 |
Portugal vs Denmark preview & analysis
Match preview
Portugal host Denmark in the Nations League (League A - 5) on Saturday, 14 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Portugal arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Norway 2-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 12 points from 4 games. Denmark arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Wales 1-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 6 points from 4 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, Portugal have won 3, Denmark have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Portugal clear favourites: Portugal 65%, draw 22%, Denmark 13%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.5 - 0.7 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.48, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Portugal 2-0 Denmark.
Recent form
Portugal- 4 OctHNorway2-1
- 1 OctADenmark4-2
- 27 SeptANorway2-1
- 24 SeptHWales1-0
- 6 JulHSpain0-1
Denmark- 4 OctAWales1-0
- 1 OctHPortugal2-4
- 27 SeptHWales2-0
- 24 SeptANorway2-3
- 7 JunHUkraine2-1
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Portugal vs Denmark: FAQ
What is the Portugal vs Denmark prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.48. Our predicted score is Portugal 2-0 Denmark.
Who is the favourite to win Portugal vs Denmark?
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Portugal are favourites. Our model gives Portugal a 65% chance of winning, Denmark 13%, and the draw 22%.
Will both teams score in Portugal vs Denmark?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Portugal vs Denmark kick off?
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Portugal vs Denmark kicks off at 19:45 UTC on Saturday, 14 November 2026.
