Swansea
West Ham17 Oct
Swansea vs West Ham Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.7
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Expert analysis
Swansea vs West Ham: Goals at Both Ends Look Likely
Analysis by Marcus Hale
English football, Champions League & Europa League ·
Swansea and West Ham meet at Swansea.com Stadium on 17 October, with both sides showing strong attacking form and a recent tendency to concede. Both teams to score is the recommended pick at best odds of 1.57, supported by a 59% model probability.
Form and Context
The Championship's top two challengers arrive in contrasting but productive form, with Swansea leading the table and West Ham close behind.
- Swansea sit 1st with 23 points from 10 matches.
- West Ham are 3rd with 19 points from 10 matches.
- Swansea have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 9 goals and conceding 6.
- West Ham have scored 17 goals in their last 5, while conceding 6.
- Both teams have recorded four matches over 2.5 goals in their last five.
Team News
With two days remaining, fitness updates remain provisional and neither manager has confirmed a starting XI.
- Swansea will be without Filip Lissah, suspended after his fifth yellow card of the season.
- Josh Key remains in rehabilitation, leaving Swansea without a senior right-back, according to Swansea Bay News.
- Stephen Eustáquio has returned to team training but remains a doubt pending further assessment, Matos confirmed.
- West Ham's latest official injury update identified Keiber Lamadrid as unavailable, although his current status has not been newly reconfirmed.
- Tomáš Souček scored twice off the bench against Lincoln, strengthening his case for a starting role.
Attacking Matchup
The attacking numbers suggest both sides have realistic routes to finding the net.
- Swansea have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, including wins over Norwich and Burnley.
- West Ham scored 6 goals against Lincoln, though Lincoln had been reduced to nine players by the 23rd minute.
- West Ham's recent results include a 2-2 draw with Millwall and a 2-3 defeat to Fulham.
- The model expects 1.19 Swansea goals and 1.69 West Ham goals.
- The most likely scoreline is 1-2, consistent with the prospect of goals at both ends.
The Numbers
Both-teams-to-score leads the model's goal-market outlook, making it a probability-led selection rather than a claim of exceptional value.
- Both teams to score: 59% model probability.
- Best available odds: 1.57 in decimal format.
- Over 2.5 goals carries a 55% model probability, providing additional context for an open contest.
- Swansea recorded BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with West Ham's 3.
- The main risk is Swansea's recent defensive resilience and West Ham's failure to score in every recent match; either side could keep a clean sheet.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Swansea have recorded BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- 2West Ham have scored 17 goals across their last 5 matches, underlining their attacking threat.
- 3The model gives both teams to score a 59% probability, making it the leading goal-market selection.
Verdict
The recommendation is Both teams to score at best odds of 1.57. Swansea's recent scoring record and West Ham's attacking output support the selection, although Swansea's defensive form means a clean sheet remains a credible threat.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Swansea vs West Ham tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5West Ham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | 1.06 |
| AH1 +1.5Swansea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 74% | 1.36 | 1.17 |
| X2West Ham or Draw | 72% | 1.38 | 1.35 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.37 |
| 1XSwansea or Draw | 57% | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | 2.09 |
| 2West Ham to win | 43% | 2.30 | 2.21 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.41 | 2.30 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.96 | 2.66 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.44 | 3.75 |
| 1Swansea to win | 28% | 3.63 | 3.15 |
| AH2 -1.5West Ham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 26% | 3.81 | 3.98 |
| AH1 -1.5Swansea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.29 | 6.25 |
Swansea vs West Ham odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.15 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 3.02 | 3.58 | 2.17 | 1.69 | 2.09 | 1.57 | 2.26 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 3.75 | 2.21 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.75 | 2.15 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 3.58 | 2.15 | 1.69 | 2.09 | 1.57 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.69 | 2.01 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.09 | 3.73 | 2.18 | 1.76 | 2.11 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.78 | 3.04 | 2.16 | 1.74 | 2.08 | - | - |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.75 | 2.10 | 1.78 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Recent form
- 13 OctAMillwall1-0
- 10 OctHNorwich2-1
- 19 SeptALincoln2-1
- 12 SeptHBurnley3-1
- 8 SeptASouthampton1-3
- 14 OctALincoln6-0
- 9 OctHQPR1-1
- 19 SeptAMillwall2-2
- 15 SeptHFulham2-3
- 11 SeptHWrexham6-0
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
Swansea vs West Ham: FAQ
What is the Swansea vs West Ham prediction?
+
Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.57. Our predicted score is Swansea 0-1 West Ham.
Who is the favourite to win Swansea vs West Ham?
+
West Ham are favourites. Our model gives Swansea a 28% chance of winning, West Ham 43%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Swansea vs West Ham?
+
We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Swansea vs West Ham kick off?
+
Swansea vs West Ham kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea.
More Championship predictions
See allOther big matches
See allBoth teams to score · 62%