Oh My Tip
Championship· Regular Season - 11· Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea logoSwansea
WWWWL
West Ham logoWest Ham
WDDLW

17 Oct

Swansea vs West Ham Prediction & Betting Tips

Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off

Expert analysis · Marcus Hale

Our prediction

Both teams to score

Medium· 58%
1xBet1.57

18+ · T&Cs apply

Predicted score

0-1

Fair odds

1.71

Expected goals

1.2 - 1.7

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Expert analysis

Swansea vs West Ham: Goals at Both Ends Look Likely

Analysis by Marcus Hale

English football, Champions League & Europa League ·

Swansea and West Ham meet at Swansea.com Stadium on 17 October, with both sides showing strong attacking form and a recent tendency to concede. Both teams to score is the recommended pick at best odds of 1.57, supported by a 59% model probability.

Form and Context

The Championship's top two challengers arrive in contrasting but productive form, with Swansea leading the table and West Ham close behind.

  • Swansea sit 1st with 23 points from 10 matches.
  • West Ham are 3rd with 19 points from 10 matches.
  • Swansea have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 9 goals and conceding 6.
  • West Ham have scored 17 goals in their last 5, while conceding 6.
  • Both teams have recorded four matches over 2.5 goals in their last five.

Team News

With two days remaining, fitness updates remain provisional and neither manager has confirmed a starting XI.

  • Swansea will be without Filip Lissah, suspended after his fifth yellow card of the season.
  • Josh Key remains in rehabilitation, leaving Swansea without a senior right-back, according to Swansea Bay News.
  • Stephen Eustáquio has returned to team training but remains a doubt pending further assessment, Matos confirmed.
  • West Ham's latest official injury update identified Keiber Lamadrid as unavailable, although his current status has not been newly reconfirmed.
  • Tomáš Souček scored twice off the bench against Lincoln, strengthening his case for a starting role.

Attacking Matchup

The attacking numbers suggest both sides have realistic routes to finding the net.

  • Swansea have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, including wins over Norwich and Burnley.
  • West Ham scored 6 goals against Lincoln, though Lincoln had been reduced to nine players by the 23rd minute.
  • West Ham's recent results include a 2-2 draw with Millwall and a 2-3 defeat to Fulham.
  • The model expects 1.19 Swansea goals and 1.69 West Ham goals.
  • The most likely scoreline is 1-2, consistent with the prospect of goals at both ends.

The Numbers

Both-teams-to-score leads the model's goal-market outlook, making it a probability-led selection rather than a claim of exceptional value.

  • Both teams to score: 59% model probability.
  • Best available odds: 1.57 in decimal format.
  • Over 2.5 goals carries a 55% model probability, providing additional context for an open contest.
  • Swansea recorded BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches, compared with West Ham's 3.
  • The main risk is Swansea's recent defensive resilience and West Ham's failure to score in every recent match; either side could keep a clean sheet.

Three reasons we like this tip

  1. 1Swansea have recorded BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches.
  2. 2West Ham have scored 17 goals across their last 5 matches, underlining their attacking threat.
  3. 3The model gives both teams to score a 59% probability, making it the leading goal-market selection.

Verdict

The recommendation is Both teams to score at best odds of 1.57. Swansea's recent scoring record and West Ham's attacking output support the selection, although Swansea's defensive form means a clean sheet remains a credible threat.

We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.

Match probabilities

28%Swansea
29%Draw
43%West Ham
Over 2.5 goals55%
Under 2.5 goals45%
Both teams to score58%
Clean sheet either side42%

More Swansea vs West Ham tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH2 +1.5West Ham +1.5 (Asian Handicap)89%1.121.06
AH1 +1.5Swansea +1.5 (Asian Handicap)74%1.361.17
X2West Ham or Draw72%1.381.35
U3.5Under 3.5 goals66%1.511.37
1XSwansea or Draw57%1.771.67
O2.5Over 2.5 goals55%1.831.69
U2.5Under 2.5 goals45%2.212.09
2West Ham to win43%2.302.21
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score42%2.412.30
O3.5Over 3.5 goals34%2.962.66
XDraw29%3.443.75
1Swansea to win28%3.633.15
AH2 -1.5West Ham -1.5 (Asian Handicap)26%3.813.98
AH1 -1.5Swansea -1.5 (Asian Handicap)11%9.296.25

Swansea vs West Ham odds comparison

Best price in each market highlighted.

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5BTTSNo BTTS
William Hill3.003.502.15--1.572.30
1xBet3.023.582.171.692.091.572.26
Dafabet3.153.752.21----
Bet3653.003.752.151.732.101.622.20
Marathonbet3.023.582.151.692.091.572.22
Betfair3.103.502.201.732.101.602.30
BetVictor3.103.502.151.692.011.572.25
Pinnacle3.093.732.181.762.11--
SBO2.783.042.161.742.08--
Betano3.253.752.101.782.101.652.15

Recent form

Swansea logoSwansea
WWWWL
  • 13 OctAMillwall1-0
  • 10 OctHNorwich2-1
  • 19 SeptALincoln2-1
  • 12 SeptHBurnley3-1
  • 8 SeptASouthampton1-3
West Ham logoWest Ham
WDDLW
  • 14 OctALincoln6-0
  • 9 OctHQPR1-1
  • 19 SeptAMillwall2-2
  • 15 SeptHFulham2-3
  • 11 SeptHWrexham6-0

Head to head

03/03/2018Swansea4-1West Ham
30/09/2017West Ham1-0Swansea
08/04/2017West Ham1-0Swansea
26/12/2016Swansea1-4West Ham
07/05/2016West Ham1-4Swansea
20/12/2015Swansea0-0West Ham

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Swansea logoSwansea10721+923
2Middlesbrough logoMiddlesbrough10631+621
3West Ham logoWest Ham10541+1719
4Birmingham logoBirmingham10451+617
5QPR logoQPR10451+617

Swansea vs West Ham: FAQ

What is the Swansea vs West Ham prediction?

+

Our tip is Both teams to score at odds of 1.57. Our predicted score is Swansea 0-1 West Ham.

Who is the favourite to win Swansea vs West Ham?

+

West Ham are favourites. Our model gives Swansea a 28% chance of winning, West Ham 43%, and the draw 29%.

Will both teams score in Swansea vs West Ham?

+

We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.

When does Swansea vs West Ham kick off?

+

Swansea vs West Ham kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea.

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