Championship· Regular Season - 18· Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea
Cardiff29 Nov
Swansea vs Cardiff Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 29 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Swansea vs Cardiff tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Swansea +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XSwansea or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Cardiff +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Cardiff or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Swansea to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Swansea -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Cardiff to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Cardiff -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Swansea vs Cardiff preview & analysis
Match preview
Swansea host Cardiff in the Championship (Regular Season - 18) at Swansea.com Stadium on Sunday, 29 November 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Swansea arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Millwall 1-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 23 points from 10 games. Cardiff arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Watford 5-1 at home. They're 19th in the table with 10 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Swansea have won 3, Cardiff have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Swansea narrow favourites: Swansea 44%, draw 38%, Cardiff 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Swansea 2-1 Cardiff.
Recent form
Swansea- 13 OctAMillwall1-0
- 10 OctHNorwich2-1
- 19 SeptALincoln2-1
- 12 SeptHBurnley3-1
- 8 SeptASouthampton1-3
Cardiff- 13 OctHWatford5-1
- 10 OctABlackburn1-2
- 19 SeptHCharlton3-1
- 12 SeptABolton0-1
- 8 SeptHStoke City1-1
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
Swansea vs Cardiff: FAQ
What is the Swansea vs Cardiff prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Swansea 2-1 Cardiff.
Who is the favourite to win Swansea vs Cardiff?
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Swansea are favourites. Our model gives Swansea a 44% chance of winning, Cardiff 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Swansea vs Cardiff?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Swansea vs Cardiff kick off?
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Swansea vs Cardiff kicks off at 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 29 November 2026 at Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea.
