Europa League· League Stage - 1· Stadium of Light
Sunderland
AZ Alkmaar1-0
FT
Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 16 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sunderland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5AZ Alkmaar +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XSunderland or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2AZ Alkmaar or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Sunderland to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2AZ Alkmaar to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sunderland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5AZ Alkmaar -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 6.92 | - |
Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar preview & analysis
Match preview
Sunderland host AZ Alkmaar in the Europa League (League Stage - 1) at Stadium of Light on Wednesday, 16 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sunderland arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Arsenal 0-2 at home. They're 15th in the table with 3 points from 1 game. AZ Alkmaar arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Willem II 1-1 at home. They're 26th in the table with 0 points from 1 game.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sunderland narrow favourites: Sunderland 37%, draw 31%, AZ Alkmaar 32%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Sunderland- 12 SeptHArsenal0-2
- 8 SeptHHull City1-0
- 5 SeptABrentford1-1
AZ Alkmaar- 11 SeptHWillem II1-1
- 6 SeptAHeerenveen3-2
- 29 AugHGO Ahead Eagles5-2
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 13 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |  Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 24 |  Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
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Sunderland are favourites. Our model gives Sunderland a 37% chance of winning, AZ Alkmaar 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar kick off?
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Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.
