Europa League· League Stage - 4· Merkur-Arena
Sturm Graz
Celje5 Nov
Sturm Graz vs Celje Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
2.3 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sturm Graz vs Celje tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sturm Graz +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XSturm Graz or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Celje +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 57% | 1.74 | - |
| X2Celje or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| 1Sturm Graz to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sturm Graz -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 43% | 2.35 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| 2Celje to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Celje -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 18.37 | - |
Sturm Graz vs Celje preview & analysis
Match preview
Sturm Graz host Celje in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at Merkur-Arena on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sturm Graz arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Bournemouth 0-3 away. They're 26th in the table with 1 point from 2 games. Celje are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Omonia Nicosia 0-3 at home. They're 35th in the table with 0 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sturm Graz favourites: Sturm Graz 47%, draw 41%, Celje 12%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.3 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sturm Graz 2-1 Celje.
Recent form
Sturm Graz- 15 OctABournemouth0-3
- 10 OctAAustria Vienna2-0
- 2 OctHFloridsdorfer AC3-1
- 20 SeptARed Bull Salzburg0-3
- 16 SeptHRennes0-0
Celje- 15 OctHOmonia Nicosia0-3
- 10 OctHAluminij1-0
- 20 SeptAMura0-0
- 16 SeptABayer Leverkusen0-2
- 12 SeptABravo1-2
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 24 |  Levski Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 25 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 27 |  NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 28 |  Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Celtic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 |  Ararat-Armenia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | Celje | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Lech Poznan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | 0 |
Sturm Graz vs Celje: FAQ
What is the Sturm Graz vs Celje prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 2-1 Celje.
Who is the favourite to win Sturm Graz vs Celje?
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Sturm Graz are favourites. Our model gives Sturm Graz a 47% chance of winning, Celje 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs Celje?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sturm Graz vs Celje kick off?
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Sturm Graz vs Celje kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at Merkur-Arena, Graz.
