Championship· Regular Season - 10· bet365 Stadium
Stoke City
Middlesbrough2-3
FT
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Stoke City or Draw
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.75
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.6
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Stoke City vs Middlesbrough tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Middlesbrough +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| AH1 +1.5Stoke City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| X2Middlesbrough or Draw | 72% | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.35 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.77 | 1.64 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 | 1.74 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 | 2.02 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.30 | 2.20 |
| 2Middlesbrough to win | 43% | 2.34 | 1.98 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.05 | 2.74 |
| XDraw | 29% | 3.47 | 3.70 |
| 1Stoke City to win | 28% | 3.52 | 3.80 |
| AH2 -1.5Middlesbrough -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.02 | 3.28 |
| AH1 -1.5Stoke City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.90 | 7.60 |
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.95 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 3.64 | 3.64 | 1.92 | 1.74 | 2.02 | 1.64 | 2.13 |
| Dafabet | 3.80 | 3.70 | 1.98 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.91 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 3.64 | 3.64 | 1.90 | 1.74 | 2.02 | 1.64 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.70 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.93 | 1.72 | 1.97 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.83 | 3.79 | 1.96 | 1.80 | 2.10 | - | - |
| SBO | 3.46 | 3.32 | 1.93 | 1.80 | 2.04 | - | - |
| Betano | 3.65 | 3.70 | 1.98 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough preview & analysis
Match preview
Stoke City host Middlesbrough in the Championship (Regular Season - 10) at bet365 Stadium on Tuesday, 13 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Stoke City arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Bolton 2-1 away. They're 4th in the table with 16 points from 9 games. Middlesbrough arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Most recently they beat Wolves 1-0 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 18 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Stoke City have won 2, Middlesbrough have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Middlesbrough narrow favourites: Stoke City 28%, draw 29%, Middlesbrough 43%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.2 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Stoke City should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw for extra safety. Our pick is Stoke City or Draw at 1.88, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Stoke City 0-1 Middlesbrough.
Recent form
Stoke City- 10 OctABolton2-1
- 19 SeptHSheffield Utd2-1
- 12 SeptAWatford2-1
- 8 SeptACardiff1-1
- 5 SeptHCharlton4-0
Middlesbrough- 10 OctHWolves1-0
- 19 SeptABirmingham2-2
- 15 SeptHMillwall2-2
- 12 SeptHNorwich4-3
- 8 SeptACrystal Palace0-3
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 | Stoke City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 |  Wolves | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: FAQ
What is the Stoke City vs Middlesbrough prediction?
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Our tip is Stoke City or Draw at odds of 1.88. Our predicted score is Stoke City 0-1 Middlesbrough.
Who is the favourite to win Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
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Middlesbrough are favourites. Our model gives Stoke City a 28% chance of winning, Middlesbrough 43%, and the draw 29%.
Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Middlesbrough?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Stoke City vs Middlesbrough kick off?
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Stoke City vs Middlesbrough kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent.
