Championship· Regular Season - 10· Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff
Watford5-1
FT
Cardiff vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.58
Expected goals
2.3 - 1.0
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Cardiff vs Watford tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Cardiff +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | 1.03 |
| 1XCardiff or Draw | 81% | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 62% | 1.62 | 1.50 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | 1.61 |
| AH2 +1.5Watford +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 56% | 1.78 | 1.40 |
| 1Cardiff to win | 55% | 1.81 | 1.67 |
| X2Watford or Draw | 45% | 2.24 | 2.17 |
| AH1 -1.5Cardiff -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 44% | 2.28 | 2.56 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 | 2.23 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 38% | 2.62 | 2.45 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | 2.43 |
| XDraw | 26% | 3.88 | 4.40 |
| 2Watford to win | 19% | 5.31 | 4.70 |
| AH2 -1.5Watford -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.45 | 8.60 |
Cardiff vs Watford odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.50 | - | - | 1.50 | 2.45 |
| 1xBet | 1.65 | 4.25 | 4.40 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 4.40 | 4.70 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 2.62 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 4.25 | 4.45 | 1.44 | 2.43 | 1.50 | 2.38 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.33 | 4.75 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 1.50 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.60 | 1.48 | 2.43 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 4.49 | 4.91 | 1.50 | 2.69 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.65 | 3.86 | 4.15 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.30 | 4.80 | 1.55 | 2.55 | 1.53 | 2.40 |
Cardiff vs Watford preview & analysis
Match preview
Cardiff host Watford in the Championship (Regular Season - 10) at Cardiff City Stadium on Tuesday, 13 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Cardiff are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Blackburn 1-2 away. They're 21st in the table with 7 points from 9 games. Watford are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Burnley 0-4 at home. They're 20th in the table with 8 points from 9 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Cardiff have won 3, Watford have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cardiff favourites: Cardiff 55%, draw 26%, Watford 19%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.3 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 63% for over 2.5 and 62% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.55, which our model rates at a 63% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Cardiff 2-0 Watford.
Recent form
Cardiff- 10 OctABlackburn1-2
- 19 SeptHCharlton3-1
- 12 SeptABolton0-1
- 8 SeptHStoke City1-1
- 5 SeptAPortsmouth0-2
Watford- 10 OctHBurnley0-4
- 18 SeptABristol City0-1
- 12 SeptHStoke City1-2
- 8 SeptHPreston2-1
- 5 SeptAWest Brom0-1
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 18 |  Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 23 |  Derby | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Cardiff vs Watford: FAQ
What is the Cardiff vs Watford prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.55. Our predicted score is Cardiff 2-0 Watford.
Who is the favourite to win Cardiff vs Watford?
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Cardiff are favourites. Our model gives Cardiff a 55% chance of winning, Watford 19%, and the draw 26%.
Will both teams score in Cardiff vs Watford?
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We rate both teams to score at 62%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Cardiff vs Watford kick off?
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Cardiff vs Watford kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff.
