Champions League· League Stage - 2· Riyadh Air Metropolitano
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United2-0
FT
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.2
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | 1.02 |
| 1XAtletico Madrid or Draw | 73% | 1.38 | 1.26 |
| AH2 +1.5Manchester United +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | 1.34 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| X2Manchester United or Draw | 56% | 1.80 | 1.99 |
| 1Atletico Madrid to win | 44% | 2.25 | 1.96 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | 2.27 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.41 | 2.25 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.75 | 2.53 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.53 | 3.95 |
| AH1 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.61 | 3.08 |
| 2Manchester United to win | 27% | 3.66 | 4.26 |
| AH2 -1.5Manchester United -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.50 | 7.80 |
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.90 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.88 | 4.26 | 1.74 | 2.27 | 1.59 | 2.24 |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 3.95 | 3.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.90 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 3.82 | 4.20 | 1.69 | 2.21 | 1.59 | 2.21 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.75 | 4.00 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.62 | 2.12 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 3.82 | 4.14 | 1.71 | 2.23 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.61 | 3.54 | 1.67 | 2.26 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.75 | 4.25 | 1.67 | 2.27 | 1.57 | 2.32 |
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United preview & analysis
Match preview
Atletico Madrid host Manchester United in the Champions League (League Stage - 2) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Tuesday, 13 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atletico Madrid arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Alaves 2-1 away. They're 26th in the table with 0 points from 1 game. Manchester United arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Tottenham 1-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 3 points from 1 game.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Atletico Madrid have won 3, Manchester United have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.6 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico Madrid narrow favourites: Atletico Madrid 44%, draw 28%, Manchester United 27%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.8 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 57% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.74, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Atletico Madrid 2-1 Manchester United.
Recent form
Atletico Madrid- 10 OctAAlaves2-1
- 20 SeptHReal Madrid2-1
- 16 SeptHOsasuna4-0
- 13 SeptAReal Sociedad3-0
- 9 SeptALiverpool1-2
Manchester United- 10 OctHTottenham1-1
- 20 SeptAFulham1-1
- 16 SeptHBrighton2-3
- 13 SeptHManchester City0-1
- 10 SeptHSabah FA4-0
Head to head
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 24 |  Club Brugge KV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |  Lask Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United: FAQ
What is the Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.74. Our predicted score is Atletico Madrid 2-1 Manchester United.
Who is the favourite to win Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United?
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Atletico Madrid are favourites. Our model gives Atletico Madrid a 44% chance of winning, Manchester United 27%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United kick off?
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Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid.
