Championship· Regular Season - 16· Bet365 Stadium
Stoke City
Birmingham21 Nov
Stoke City vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 21 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Stoke City vs Birmingham tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Stoke City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XStoke City or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Birmingham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Birmingham or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Stoke City to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Stoke City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Birmingham to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Birmingham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Stoke City vs Birmingham preview & analysis
Match preview
Stoke City host Birmingham in the Championship (Regular Season - 16) at Bet365 Stadium on Saturday, 21 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Stoke City arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Middlesbrough 2-3 at home. They're 8th in the table with 16 points from 10 games. Birmingham arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Preston 4-0 at home. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Stoke City have won 2, Birmingham have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Stoke City narrow favourites: Stoke City 44%, draw 38%, Birmingham 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Stoke City 2-1 Birmingham.
Recent form
Stoke City- 13 OctHMiddlesbrough2-3
- 10 OctABolton2-1
- 19 SeptHSheffield Utd2-1
- 12 SeptAWatford2-1
- 8 SeptACardiff1-1
Birmingham- 13 OctHPreston4-0
- 10 OctAWest Brom1-0
- 19 SeptHMiddlesbrough2-2
- 12 SeptADerby2-1
- 9 SeptANorwich1-2
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
Stoke City vs Birmingham: FAQ
What is the Stoke City vs Birmingham prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Stoke City 2-1 Birmingham.
Who is the favourite to win Stoke City vs Birmingham?
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Stoke City are favourites. Our model gives Stoke City a 44% chance of winning, Birmingham 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Birmingham?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Stoke City vs Birmingham kick off?
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Stoke City vs Birmingham kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at Bet365 Stadium, Stoke on Trent.
