Bundesliga· Regular Season - 10· BayArena
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Paderborn 0721 Nov
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 21 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
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More Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Bayer Leverkusen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XBayer Leverkusen or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5SC Paderborn 07 +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| X2SC Paderborn 07 or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Bayer Leverkusen to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bayer Leverkusen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 2SC Paderborn 07 to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5SC Paderborn 07 -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.51 | - |
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 preview & analysis
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen host SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 10) at BayArena on Saturday, 21 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bayer Leverkusen arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Lech Poznan 4-0 away. They're 4th in the table with 10 points from 5 games. SC Paderborn 07 are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to VfB Stuttgart 0-2 at home. They're 15th in the table with 4 points from 5 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bayer Leverkusen have won 5, SC Paderborn 07 have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bayer Leverkusen narrow favourites: Bayer Leverkusen 44%, draw 38%, SC Paderborn 07 18%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Paderborn 07.
Recent form
Bayer Leverkusen- 15 OctALech Poznan4-0
- 10 OctAFSV Mainz 054-3
- 20 SeptHRB Leipzig2-0
- 16 SeptHCelje2-0
- 12 SeptAFC Augsburg2-2
SC Paderborn 07- 10 OctHVfB Stuttgart0-2
- 1 OctADC United1-0
- 20 SeptH1899 Hoffenheim3-1
- 12 SeptABorussia Dortmund0-3
- 5 SeptHSC Freiburg0-1
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07: FAQ
What is the Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 SC Paderborn 07.
Who is the favourite to win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
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Bayer Leverkusen are favourites. Our model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 44% chance of winning, SC Paderborn 07 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 kick off?
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Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 kicks off at 14:30 UTC on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at BayArena, Leverkusen.
