Conference League· League Stage - 5· Daio Wasabi Stayen
St. Truiden
Ajax10 Dec
St. Truiden vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 10 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.37
Expected goals
1.6 - 2.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More St. Truiden vs Ajax tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Ajax +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Ajax or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5St. Truiden +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XSt. Truiden or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2Ajax to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Ajax -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1St. Truiden to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5St. Truiden -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
St. Truiden vs Ajax preview & analysis
Match preview
St. Truiden host Ajax in the Conference League (League Stage - 5) at Daio Wasabi Stayen on Thursday, 10 December 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
St. Truiden are struggling for results, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat FC Iberia 1999 2-0 at home. They're 6th in the table with 3 points from 1 game. Ajax arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to HNK Hajduk Split 1-2 away. They're 25th in the table with 0 points from 1 game.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, St. Truiden have won 0, Ajax have won 1 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ajax narrow favourites: St. Truiden 23%, draw 38%, Ajax 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 73% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is St. Truiden 1-2 Ajax.
Recent form
St. Truiden- 15 OctHFC Iberia 19992-0
- 11 OctAKV Mechelen3-4
- 20 SeptHKVC Westerlo0-2
- 12 SeptASK Beveren0-2
- 5 SeptHRAAL La Louvière4-0
Ajax- 15 OctAHNK Hajduk Split1-2
- 10 OctHNEC Nijmegen1-1
- 19 SeptHExcelsior2-2
- 15 SeptHWillem II5-1
- 12 SeptAFortuna Sittard5-1
Head to head
Conference League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |  Mjallby AIF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 6 | St. Truiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 |  FC Lugano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Ajax | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |  Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
St. Truiden vs Ajax: FAQ
What is the St. Truiden vs Ajax prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is St. Truiden 1-2 Ajax.
Who is the favourite to win St. Truiden vs Ajax?
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Ajax are favourites. Our model gives St. Truiden a 23% chance of winning, Ajax 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in St. Truiden vs Ajax?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does St. Truiden vs Ajax kick off?
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St. Truiden vs Ajax kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Thursday, 10 December 2026 at Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden.
