Europa League· League Stage - 6
Marseille
Celta Vigo10 Dec
Marseille vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 10 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.5
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Marseille vs Celta Vigo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Celta Vigo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Celta Vigo or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Marseille +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XMarseille or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Celta Vigo to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Celta Vigo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.20 | - |
| 1Marseille to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.41 | - |
Marseille vs Celta Vigo preview & analysis
Match preview
Marseille host Celta Vigo in the Europa League (League Stage - 6) on Thursday, 10 December 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Marseille are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Olympiakos Piraeus 0-1 at home. They're 32nd in the table with 0 points from 2 games. Celta Vigo arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4. Most recently they lost to Juventus 1-2 at home. They're 28th in the table with 0 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Celta Vigo narrow favourites: Marseille 23%, draw 38%, Celta Vigo 39%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Marseille 0-1 Celta Vigo.
Recent form
Marseille- 15 OctHOlympiakos Piraeus0-1
- 11 OctAEstac Troyes2-0
- 20 SeptHParis Saint Germain1-2
- 17 SeptABeşiktaş1-4
- 11 SeptARennes0-1
Celta Vigo- 15 OctHJuventus1-2
- 11 OctAElche0-0
- 19 SeptHRacing Santander5-0
- 16 SeptAOmonia Nicosia0-1
- 13 SeptHMalaga1-1
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 |
| 27 |  NEC Nijmegen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 28 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |  Anderlecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 31 |  Plzen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 33 |  Celtic | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 |  Ararat-Armenia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Marseille vs Celta Vigo: FAQ
What is the Marseille vs Celta Vigo prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Marseille 0-1 Celta Vigo.
Who is the favourite to win Marseille vs Celta Vigo?
+
Celta Vigo are favourites. Our model gives Marseille a 23% chance of winning, Celta Vigo 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Marseille vs Celta Vigo?
+
We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Marseille vs Celta Vigo kick off?
+
Marseille vs Celta Vigo kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 10 December 2026.
