Scottish Premiership· Regular Season - 17· The SMISA Stadium
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian5 Dec
ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 5 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
1.2 - 1.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Heart Of Midlothian +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Heart Of Midlothian or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5ST Mirren +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XST Mirren or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Heart Of Midlothian to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Heart Of Midlothian -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1ST Mirren to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5ST Mirren -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian preview & analysis
Match preview
ST Mirren host Heart Of Midlothian in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 17) at The SMISA Stadium on Saturday, 5 December 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
ST Mirren are struggling for results, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Heart Of Midlothian 0-5 away. They're 7th in the table with 10 points from 8 games. Heart Of Midlothian arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 16 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, ST Mirren have won 1, Heart Of Midlothian have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Heart Of Midlothian narrow favourites: ST Mirren 23%, draw 38%, Heart Of Midlothian 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 59% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is ST Mirren 1-2 Heart Of Midlothian.
Recent form
ST Mirren- 10 OctAHeart Of Midlothian0-5
- 19 SeptHDundee Utd0-3
- 9 SeptARangers0-1
- 5 SeptHCeltic1-2
- 2 SeptAKilmarnock1-0
Heart Of Midlothian- 15 OctHFC Nordsjaelland1-1
- 10 OctHST Mirren5-0
- 19 SeptAKilmarnock1-1
- 15 SeptAFalkirk1-2
- 11 SeptAStenhousemuir3-0
Head to head
Scottish Premiership table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 |  Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  ST Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | ST Mirren | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 |  Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 5 |
ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian: FAQ
What is the ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is ST Mirren 1-2 Heart Of Midlothian.
Who is the favourite to win ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian?
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Heart Of Midlothian are favourites. Our model gives ST Mirren a 23% chance of winning, Heart Of Midlothian 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian kick off?
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ST Mirren vs Heart Of Midlothian kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 5 December 2026 at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley.
