Sparta Praha
Bournemouth5 Nov
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
1.3 - 1.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Bournemouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Bournemouth or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Sparta Praha +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.59 | - |
| 1XSparta Praha or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| 2Bournemouth to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.68 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bournemouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 29% | 3.41 | - |
| 1Sparta Praha to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sparta Praha -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.87 | - |
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth preview & analysis
Match preview
Sparta Praha host Bournemouth in the Europa League (League Stage - 4) at epet ARENA on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 17:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sparta Praha arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Lillestrom 1-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 4 points from 2 games. Bournemouth arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Most recently they beat Sturm Graz 3-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 6 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bournemouth narrow favourites: Sparta Praha 23%, draw 38%, Bournemouth 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 63% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 63% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sparta Praha 1-2 Bournemouth.
Recent form
- 15 OctHLillestrom1-1
- 11 OctHPardubice2-0
- 2 OctHVysočina Jihlava5-3
- 20 SeptASigma Olomouc3-0
- 16 SeptAArarat-Armenia4-1
- 15 OctHSturm Graz3-0
- 10 OctAChelsea1-5
- 20 SeptHLiverpool0-1
- 17 SeptAReal Sociedad2-1
- 12 SeptHBrentford2-2
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | |
| 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 | |
| 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 | |
| 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | |
| 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: FAQ
What is the Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 1-2 Bournemouth.
Who is the favourite to win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
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Bournemouth are favourites. Our model gives Sparta Praha a 23% chance of winning, Bournemouth 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth kick off?
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Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth kicks off at 17:45 UTC on Thursday, 5 November 2026 at epet ARENA, Prague.