Oh My Tip
League One· Regular Season - 11· Hillsborough Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logoSheffield Wednesday
DWWDD
AFC Wimbledon logoAFC Wimbledon
LDDDW

17 Oct

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction & Betting Tips

Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off

Expert analysis · Marcus Hale

Our prediction

Sheffield Wednesday to win

Medium· 55%
1xBet1.67

18+ · T&Cs apply

Predicted score

2-0

Fair odds

1.83

Expected goals

2.0 - 0.9

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Expert analysis

Sheffield Wednesday to win against AFC Wimbledon

Analysis by Marcus Hale

English football, Champions League & Europa League ·

Sheffield Wednesday are the most likely outcome at Hillsborough, with a 54% home win probability and expected goals of 2.04 to 0.89. The price is short rather than spectacular, but the numbers support a measured home-win selection at 1.68.

Form and context

Wednesday bring the steadier recent record and the stronger league position into this League One meeting.

  • Sheffield Wednesday are unbeaten in five, with 2 wins and 3 draws.
  • AFC Wimbledon have one win, three draws and one defeat across their last five.
  • Wednesday sit 7th with 15 points from 8 matches.
  • Wimbledon are 11th with 12 points from 9 matches.
  • The recent head-to-head record includes a 2-1 Wednesday win at Hillsborough in 2022.

Team news

With two days until kick-off, both starting XIs remain unconfirmed and any projected line-ups should be treated cautiously.

  • Sports Mole reports that Sheffield Wednesday have several injury concerns, including Louie Barry and Tyler Onyango.
  • WAWAW reports that Max Lowe and Sil Swinkels have increased training, but their availability remains uncertain.
  • Ali Al-Hamadi has returned to training, although his selection and fitness have not been confirmed.
  • Sports Mole reports absences for Wimbledon including James Tilley and Mathew Stevens.
  • A local preview reports further concerns involving Isaac Ogundere, Dan Sweeney and Donnell McNeilly.

Key matchup

The central case for Wednesday is their superior attacking projection against a Wimbledon side producing modest recent scoring numbers.

  • Wednesday have scored 6 goals in their last five and conceded 3.
  • Wimbledon have scored 3 goals and conceded 3 across the same span.
  • The model gives Wednesday 2.04 expected goals, compared with 0.89 for Wimbledon.
  • The most likely score is 2-0, pointing towards controlled home superiority.
  • Both teams recorded BTTS in 2 of their last 5 matches, limiting the case for an open contest.

The numbers

This is best viewed as a strong-probability pick rather than a hunt for a generous price.

  • Sheffield Wednesday carry a 54% model win probability.
  • The draw is rated at 27%, while Wimbledon are given 19%.
  • Over 2.5 goals is rated at 56%, but the recent form remains relatively restrained.
  • The main risk is another stalemate, with both clubs drawing 3 of their last 5.
  • Sheffield Wednesday to win is available at 1.68.

Three reasons we like this tip

  1. 1Stronger league position and unbeaten recent form
  2. 2Clear expected-goals advantage at Hillsborough
  3. 3Model makes the home win the most likely outcome

Verdict

The recommendation is Sheffield Wednesday to win at best odds of 1.68. The main risk is a low-scoring draw, given both sides' recent tendency to share the points.

We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.

Match probabilities

55%Sheffield Wednesday
27%Draw
19%AFC Wimbledon
Over 2.5 goals56%
Under 2.5 goals44%
Both teams to score55%
Clean sheet either side45%

More Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH1 +1.5Sheffield Wednesday +1.5 (Asian Handicap)95%1.05-
1XSheffield Wednesday or Draw81%1.231.18
U3.5Under 3.5 goals65%1.551.40
AH2 +1.5AFC Wimbledon +1.5 (Asian Handicap)60%1.671.38
O2.5Over 2.5 goals56%1.781.67
BTTS YesBoth teams to score55%1.811.70
X2AFC Wimbledon or Draw45%2.202.15
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score45%2.242.09
U2.5Under 2.5 goals44%2.282.13
AH1 -1.5Sheffield Wednesday -1.5 (Asian Handicap)40%2.502.63
O3.5Over 3.5 goals35%2.822.56
XDraw27%3.733.98
2AFC Wimbledon to win19%5.364.56
AH2 -1.5AFC Wimbledon -1.5 (Asian Handicap)5%20.449.10

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon odds comparison

Best price in each market highlighted.

Bookmaker1X2O2.5U2.5BTTSNo BTTS
William Hill1.673.804.40--1.702.05
1xBet1.673.984.561.672.131.662.09
Bet3651.653.804.751.672.151.702.05
Marathonbet1.653.984.601.672.131.662.06
BetVictor1.654.004.801.652.071.652.10
Pinnacle1.684.194.661.682.24--

Recent form

Sheffield Wednesday logoSheffield Wednesday
DWWDD
  • 10 OctAHuddersfield2-2
  • 6 OctHSunderland U212-0
  • 22 SeptASalford City2-1
  • 19 SeptHStockport County0-0
  • 12 SeptHWigan0-0
AFC Wimbledon logoAFC Wimbledon
LDDDW
  • 10 OctAPlymouth1-2
  • 6 OctHBarnet0-0
  • 26 SeptACambridge United1-1
  • 17 SeptHMilton Keynes Dons0-0
  • 12 SeptHDoncaster1-0

Head to head

02/04/2022Sheffield Wednesday2-1AFC Wimbledon
16/10/2021AFC Wimbledon2-2Sheffield Wednesday

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Plymouth logoPlymouth10613+619
2Bradford logoBradford9522+317
3Stockport County logoStockport County9513+916
4Huddersfield logoHuddersfield9441+716
6Reading logoReading9432+1115
7Oxford United logoOxford United8431+715
8Sheffield Wednesday logoSheffield Wednesday8431+715
9Stevenage logoStevenage8332+412
10Burton Albion logoBurton Albion10334-212
11Mansfield Town logoMansfield Town9333-212
12AFC Wimbledon logoAFC Wimbledon9333-312
13Leyton Orient logoLeyton Orient9324+211
14Luton logoLuton8323+111

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon: FAQ

What is the Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon prediction?

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Our tip is Sheffield Wednesday to win at odds of 1.67. Our predicted score is Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 AFC Wimbledon.

Who is the favourite to win Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

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Sheffield Wednesday are favourites. Our model gives Sheffield Wednesday a 55% chance of winning, AFC Wimbledon 19%, and the draw 27%.

Will both teams score in Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?

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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.

When does Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon kick off?

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Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield.

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