Sheffield Wednesday
AFC Wimbledon17 Oct
Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Sheffield Wednesday to win
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-0
Fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
2.0 - 0.9
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Expert analysis
Sheffield Wednesday to win against AFC Wimbledon
Analysis by Marcus Hale
English football, Champions League & Europa League ·
Sheffield Wednesday are the most likely outcome at Hillsborough, with a 54% home win probability and expected goals of 2.04 to 0.89. The price is short rather than spectacular, but the numbers support a measured home-win selection at 1.68.
Form and context
Wednesday bring the steadier recent record and the stronger league position into this League One meeting.
- Sheffield Wednesday are unbeaten in five, with 2 wins and 3 draws.
- AFC Wimbledon have one win, three draws and one defeat across their last five.
- Wednesday sit 7th with 15 points from 8 matches.
- Wimbledon are 11th with 12 points from 9 matches.
- The recent head-to-head record includes a 2-1 Wednesday win at Hillsborough in 2022.
Team news
With two days until kick-off, both starting XIs remain unconfirmed and any projected line-ups should be treated cautiously.
- Sports Mole reports that Sheffield Wednesday have several injury concerns, including Louie Barry and Tyler Onyango.
- WAWAW reports that Max Lowe and Sil Swinkels have increased training, but their availability remains uncertain.
- Ali Al-Hamadi has returned to training, although his selection and fitness have not been confirmed.
- Sports Mole reports absences for Wimbledon including James Tilley and Mathew Stevens.
- A local preview reports further concerns involving Isaac Ogundere, Dan Sweeney and Donnell McNeilly.
Key matchup
The central case for Wednesday is their superior attacking projection against a Wimbledon side producing modest recent scoring numbers.
- Wednesday have scored 6 goals in their last five and conceded 3.
- Wimbledon have scored 3 goals and conceded 3 across the same span.
- The model gives Wednesday 2.04 expected goals, compared with 0.89 for Wimbledon.
- The most likely score is 2-0, pointing towards controlled home superiority.
- Both teams recorded BTTS in 2 of their last 5 matches, limiting the case for an open contest.
The numbers
This is best viewed as a strong-probability pick rather than a hunt for a generous price.
- Sheffield Wednesday carry a 54% model win probability.
- The draw is rated at 27%, while Wimbledon are given 19%.
- Over 2.5 goals is rated at 56%, but the recent form remains relatively restrained.
- The main risk is another stalemate, with both clubs drawing 3 of their last 5.
- Sheffield Wednesday to win is available at 1.68.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Stronger league position and unbeaten recent form
- 2Clear expected-goals advantage at Hillsborough
- 3Model makes the home win the most likely outcome
Verdict
The recommendation is Sheffield Wednesday to win at best odds of 1.68. The main risk is a low-scoring draw, given both sides' recent tendency to share the points.
Sources
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sheffield Wednesday +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XSheffield Wednesday or Draw | 81% | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| AH2 +1.5AFC Wimbledon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 60% | 1.67 | 1.38 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.67 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.81 | 1.70 |
| X2AFC Wimbledon or Draw | 45% | 2.20 | 2.15 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.24 | 2.09 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.13 |
| AH1 -1.5Sheffield Wednesday -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 40% | 2.50 | 2.63 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.82 | 2.56 |
| XDraw | 27% | 3.73 | 3.98 |
| 2AFC Wimbledon to win | 19% | 5.36 | 4.56 |
| AH2 -1.5AFC Wimbledon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 20.44 | 9.10 |
Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.40 | - | - | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.98 | 4.56 | 1.67 | 2.13 | 1.66 | 2.09 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.70 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.98 | 4.60 | 1.67 | 2.13 | 1.66 | 2.06 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.80 | 1.65 | 2.07 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 4.19 | 4.66 | 1.68 | 2.24 | - | - |
Recent form
- 10 OctAHuddersfield2-2
- 6 OctHSunderland U212-0
- 22 SeptASalford City2-1
- 19 SeptHStockport County0-0
- 12 SeptHWigan0-0
- 10 OctAPlymouth1-2
- 6 OctHBarnet0-0
- 26 SeptACambridge United1-1
- 17 SeptHMilton Keynes Dons0-0
- 12 SeptHDoncaster1-0
Head to head
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 17 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 16 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 15 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 11 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon: FAQ
What is the Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon prediction?
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Our tip is Sheffield Wednesday to win at odds of 1.67. Our predicted score is Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 AFC Wimbledon.
Who is the favourite to win Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?
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Sheffield Wednesday are favourites. Our model gives Sheffield Wednesday a 55% chance of winning, AFC Wimbledon 19%, and the draw 27%.
Will both teams score in Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon kick off?
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Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield.
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