La Liga· Regular Season - 15
Sevilla
Malaga6 Dec
Sevilla vs Malaga Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 6 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
1.5 - 0.8
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sevilla vs Malaga tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sevilla +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XSevilla or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Malaga +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Malaga or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Sevilla to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sevilla -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.77 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| 2Malaga to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Malaga -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.04 | - |
Sevilla vs Malaga preview & analysis
Match preview
Sevilla host Malaga in the La Liga (Regular Season - 15) on Sunday, 6 December 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sevilla arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Levante 3-3 away. They're 5th in the table with 14 points from 8 games. Malaga arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Espanyol 1-1 at home. They're 20th in the table with 4 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sevilla have won 4, Malaga have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sevilla narrow favourites: Sevilla 44%, draw 38%, Malaga 18%. We expect around 2.3 goals (1.5 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sevilla 1-0 Malaga.
Recent form
Sevilla- 12 OctALevante3-3
- 2 OctHAston Villa1-3
- 19 SeptHBarcelona1-3
- 16 SeptADeportivo La Coruna1-0
- 11 SeptHValencia1-0
Malaga- 9 OctHEspanyol1-1
- 20 SeptAGetafe0-1
- 17 SeptHVillarreal1-3
- 13 SeptACelta Vigo1-1
- 6 SeptHLevante0-0
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 | Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Sevilla vs Malaga: FAQ
What is the Sevilla vs Malaga prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sevilla 1-0 Malaga.
Who is the favourite to win Sevilla vs Malaga?
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Sevilla are favourites. Our model gives Sevilla a 44% chance of winning, Malaga 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Malaga?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Sevilla vs Malaga kick off?
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Sevilla vs Malaga kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 6 December 2026.
