Serie A· Regular Season - 14· Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina
Cagliari6 Dec
Fiorentina vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 6 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
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More Fiorentina vs Cagliari tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Cagliari +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Cagliari or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Fiorentina +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.31 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | - |
| 1XFiorentina or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.19 | - |
| 2Cagliari to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.13 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Cagliari -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.20 | - |
| 1Fiorentina to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Fiorentina -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.41 | - |
Fiorentina vs Cagliari preview & analysis
Match preview
Fiorentina host Cagliari in the Serie A (Regular Season - 14) at Stadio Artemio Franchi on Sunday, 6 December 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Fiorentina arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they lost to Genoa 1-2 away. They're 19th in the table with 4 points from 6 games. Cagliari arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 4. Most recently they drew with Juventus 1-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 13 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Fiorentina have won 4, Cagliari have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Cagliari narrow favourites: Fiorentina 23%, draw 38%, Cagliari 39%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.0 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Fiorentina 0-1 Cagliari.
Recent form
Fiorentina- 10 OctAGenoa1-2
- 20 SeptHNapoli1-1
- 15 SeptHPisa3-0
- 11 SeptAVenezia4-2
- 5 SeptHTorino1-2
Cagliari- 11 OctHJuventus1-1
- 19 SeptAUdinese1-0
- 12 SeptAAtalanta2-1
- 7 SeptHLecce1-0
- 3 SeptHHellas Verona1-2
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Fiorentina vs Cagliari: FAQ
What is the Fiorentina vs Cagliari prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Fiorentina 0-1 Cagliari.
Who is the favourite to win Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
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Cagliari are favourites. Our model gives Fiorentina a 23% chance of winning, Cagliari 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Fiorentina vs Cagliari kick off?
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Fiorentina vs Cagliari kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Sunday, 6 December 2026 at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.
