Serie A· Regular Season - 14
AC Milan
Parma6 Dec
AC Milan vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 6 December 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AC Milan vs Parma tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAC Milan or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Parma +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Parma or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1AC Milan to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Parma to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Parma -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
AC Milan vs Parma preview & analysis
Match preview
AC Milan host Parma in the Serie A (Regular Season - 14) on Sunday, 6 December 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
AC Milan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Red Bull Salzburg 4-0 away. They're 5th in the table with 12 points from 6 games. Parma are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they lost to Inter 0-3 away. They're 18th in the table with 4 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, AC Milan have won 2, Parma have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AC Milan narrow favourites: AC Milan 44%, draw 38%, Parma 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is AC Milan 1-0 Parma.
Recent form
AC Milan- 15 OctARed Bull Salzburg4-0
- 11 OctASassuolo1-1
- 20 SeptHLecce3-0
- 16 SeptHBenfica0-2
- 12 SeptALazio2-2
Parma- 10 OctAInter0-3
- 20 SeptHGenoa2-1
- 14 SeptAComo1-2
- 6 SeptHMonza1-1
- 1 SeptHCremonese0-2
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
AC Milan vs Parma: FAQ
What is the AC Milan vs Parma prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is AC Milan 1-0 Parma.
Who is the favourite to win AC Milan vs Parma?
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AC Milan are favourites. Our model gives AC Milan a 44% chance of winning, Parma 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Parma?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does AC Milan vs Parma kick off?
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AC Milan vs Parma kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Sunday, 6 December 2026.
