Brasileirão· Regular Season - 33· Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Santos
Palmeiras28 Oct
Santos vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.76
Expected goals
1.0 - 1.4
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Santos vs Palmeiras tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Palmeiras +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Palmeiras or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Santos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XSantos or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Palmeiras to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Palmeiras -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.36 | - |
| 1Santos to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Santos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 10.71 | - |
Santos vs Palmeiras preview & analysis
Match preview
Santos host Palmeiras in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 33) at Estadio Urbano Caldeira on Wednesday, 28 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Santos arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Atletico-MG 1-2 away. They're 8th in the table with 42 points from 30 games. Palmeiras arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Fluminense 2-1 away. They're 2nd in the table with 63 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Santos have won 1, Palmeiras have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Palmeiras narrow favourites: Santos 23%, draw 38%, Palmeiras 39%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.0 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 47% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 57% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Santos 0-1 Palmeiras.
Recent form
Santos- 11 OctAAtletico-MG1-2
- 8 OctHFlamengo2-2
- 3 OctASao Paulo2-1
- 19 SeptARemo2-1
- 16 SeptAAtletico-MG2-4
Palmeiras- 15 OctAFluminense2-1
- 11 OctHCorinthians4-1
- 9 OctHBahia1-0
- 20 SeptAGremio0-0
- 16 SeptALDU de Quito2-3
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Santos vs Palmeiras: FAQ
What is the Santos vs Palmeiras prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Santos 0-1 Palmeiras.
Who is the favourite to win Santos vs Palmeiras?
+
Palmeiras are favourites. Our model gives Santos a 23% chance of winning, Palmeiras 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Santos vs Palmeiras?
+
We rate both teams to score at 47%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Santos vs Palmeiras kick off?
+
Santos vs Palmeiras kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos.
