Brasileirão· Regular Season - 29· Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Santos
Flamengo2-2
FT
Santos vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 8 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Santos vs Flamengo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Flamengo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| X2Flamengo or Draw | 80% | 1.26 | 1.23 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.44 |
| AH1 +1.5Santos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.59 | 1.37 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.71 | 1.60 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 | 1.67 |
| 2Flamengo to win | 52% | 1.94 | 1.87 |
| 1XSantos or Draw | 48% | 2.06 | 2.02 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | 2.25 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.40 | 2.21 |
| AH2 -1.5Flamengo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.69 | 3.18 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.70 | 2.43 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.58 | 3.92 |
| 1Santos to win | 20% | 4.88 | 4.30 |
| AH1 -1.5Santos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 16.33 | 8.10 |
Santos vs Flamengo odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.75 | - | - | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 4.28 | 3.92 | 1.81 | 1.67 | 2.25 | 1.59 | 2.21 |
| Dafabet | 4.30 | 3.70 | 1.87 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 3.90 | 1.75 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 4.15 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 1.63 | 2.19 | 1.59 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.75 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 4.33 | 3.90 | 1.73 | 1.59 | 2.17 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.51 | 4.00 | 1.78 | 1.63 | 2.35 | - | - |
| SBO | 3.48 | 3.23 | 1.82 | 1.74 | 2.08 | - | - |
| Betano | 4.40 | 3.95 | 1.83 | 1.67 | 2.27 | 1.57 | 2.30 |
Santos vs Flamengo preview & analysis
Match preview
Santos host Flamengo in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 29) at Estádio Urbano Caldeira on Thursday, 8 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Santos arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Sao Paulo 2-1 away. They're 8th in the table with 42 points from 30 games. Flamengo arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat RB Bragantino 2-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 64 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Santos have won 2, Flamengo have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Flamengo favourites: Santos 20%, draw 28%, Flamengo 52%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.0 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Santos- 3 OctASao Paulo2-1
- 19 SeptARemo2-1
- 16 SeptAAtletico-MG2-4
- 13 SeptHCruzeiro2-1
Flamengo- 20 SeptHRB Bragantino2-1
- 18 SeptHIndependiente del Valle1-1
- 13 SeptHCorinthians2-1
- 11 SeptAIndependiente del Valle2-0
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Santos vs Flamengo: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Santos vs Flamengo?
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Flamengo are favourites. Our model gives Santos a 20% chance of winning, Flamengo 52%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Santos vs Flamengo?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Santos vs Flamengo kick off?
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Santos vs Flamengo kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Thursday, 8 October 2026 at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos.