Brasileirão· Regular Season - 29· Estádio Mineirão
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo2-0
FT
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 8 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Sao Paulo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Sao Paulo or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Cruzeiro +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XCruzeiro or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Sao Paulo to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Sao Paulo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Cruzeiro to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Cruzeiro -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.45 | - |
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo preview & analysis
Match preview
Cruzeiro host Sao Paulo in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 29) at Estádio Mineirão on Thursday, 8 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Cruzeiro arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Vitoria 3-1 away. They're 6th in the table with 48 points from 30 games. Sao Paulo arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Santos 1-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 39 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Cruzeiro have won 1, Sao Paulo have won 3 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sao Paulo narrow favourites: Cruzeiro 23%, draw 38%, Sao Paulo 39%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.2 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Cruzeiro- 20 SeptAVitoria3-1
- 13 SeptASantos1-2
- 6 SeptHAtletico Paranaense3-1
- 2 SeptAAtletico-MG1-2
Sao Paulo- 3 OctHSantos1-2
- 20 SeptHInternacional1-0
- 16 SeptHBoca Juniors1-1
- 12 SeptAPalmeiras0-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?
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Sao Paulo are favourites. Our model gives Cruzeiro a 23% chance of winning, Sao Paulo 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo?
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We rate both teams to score at 57%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo kick off?
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Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Thursday, 8 October 2026 at Estádio Mineirão, Bello Harisanta.