Brasileirão· Regular Season - 29· Estádio Nilton Santos
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama1-2
FT
Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 8 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Vasco DA Gama +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | - |
| X2Vasco DA Gama or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Botafogo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| 1XBotafogo or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.42 | - |
| 2Vasco DA Gama to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Vasco DA Gama -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| 1Botafogo to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Botafogo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.27 | - |
Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama preview & analysis
Match preview
Botafogo host Vasco DA Gama in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 29) at Estádio Nilton Santos on Thursday, 8 October 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Botafogo arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Mirassol 0-2 away. They're 13th in the table with 36 points from 30 games. Vasco DA Gama arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Coritiba 5-0 at home. They're 14th in the table with 35 points from 29 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Botafogo have won 3, Vasco DA Gama have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Vasco DA Gama narrow favourites: Botafogo 23%, draw 38%, Vasco DA Gama 39%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 - 1.8 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Botafogo- 19 SeptAMirassol0-2
- 16 SeptHGremio3-2
- 13 SeptHRB Bragantino1-1
- 6 SeptHPalmeiras0-0
Vasco DA Gama- 20 SeptHCoritiba5-0
- 15 SeptHSanta Fe2-0
- 12 SeptAGremio2-1
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?
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Vasco DA Gama are favourites. Our model gives Botafogo a 23% chance of winning, Vasco DA Gama 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama kick off?
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Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Thursday, 8 October 2026 at Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro.